🟨
Colombia1-0Congo DR
Serie A

Como vs Sassuolo Prediction - 28th November 2025

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 19:45
Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
1.80
Implied Probability
55.6%
Expected Value
+8%

Como's Defensive Fortress vs Sassuolo's Away Woes

Analysis

This Serie A clash presents a fascinating contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions. Como, sitting pretty in 6th place, have been one of the season's surprise packages with an unbeaten record in their last 10 matches (5W-5D-0L). Their home form has been particularly formidable, remaining unbeaten with a 60% win rate and conceding just 0.40 goals per game at their own stadium. The defensive statistics tell a compelling story - Como have kept clean sheets in 50% of their recent matches and boast an impressive goal difference of +12 over their last 10 games. Their recent results showcase both defensive solidity and quality, including a 0-0 draw against 3rd-placed Napoli and a 1-1 stalemate with Atalanta. Most tellingly, they already dispatched Sassuolo 3-0 in the Coppa Italia earlier this season. Sassuolo, meanwhile, sit 9th and have shown inconsistent form on their travels. While they did pull off an impressive 3-0 victory at Atalanta, their away record shows vulnerabilities with a 50% loss rate and 1.50 goals conceded per game away from home. Their recent 2-2 home draw against relegation-battling Pisa suggests defensive frailties that Como could exploit. The tactical matchup favors Como's approach - they dominate possession (62.1% vs Sassuolo's 47.4%) and create more chances with 5.20 shots on target per game compared to Sassuolo's 4.10. With both teams having equal rest days and similar recent fixture congestion, fitness shouldn't be a deciding factor. Given Como's defensive excellence at home and Sassuolo's struggles away from home, this looks set up for a low-scoring affair where Como's defensive organization should prevail.