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Premier League

Wolves vs Nottingham Forest Prediction - 3rd December 2025

Wednesday, December 3, 2025 at 19:30
Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.25
Implied Probability
44.4%
Expected Value
+13%

Forest to Capitalise on Wolves' Misery

Analysis

This matchup pits the Premier League's bottom side against a team showing signs of life. Wolves are having a historically dreadful season, sitting rock bottom with just 2 points from 13 games and still searching for their first league win. Their recent form tells the story - 7 losses in their last 10 games, including defeats to Aston Villa (0-1), Crystal Palace (0-2), Chelsea (0-3), and Fulham (0-3). They're conceding 2.0 goals per game and have managed only 0.9 goals scored per game. Nottingham Forest, while not setting the world alight, are showing much better form. They've picked up 4 wins in their last 10 games, including an impressive 3-0 victory at Liverpool and a 3-1 win against Leeds. Their defensive record is significantly better than Wolves', keeping 4 clean sheets in that period compared to Wolves' single clean sheet. The head-to-head record is historically even (2 wins each, 5 draws), but current form tells a different story. Forest are averaging more shots (12.8 vs 9.9) and shots on target (4.4 vs 3.1), indicating they're creating more chances. While Wolves do score more at home (1.6 goals per home game vs 0.2 away), they're also conceding 2.0 goals per home game. Forest's away form shows they can travel - they've won 25% of their away games recently and concede only 1.0 goal per away game. Given Wolves' defensive vulnerabilities and complete lack of confidence, Forest should have enough quality to secure the three points. Key Points: • Wolves remain winless in the Premier League this season with just 2 points from 13 games • Forest have won 4 of their last 10 games, including a 3-0 victory at Liverpool • Wolves are conceding 2.0 goals per game while scoring only 0.9 • Forest keep clean sheets 40% of the time compared to Wolves' 10% • Forest average more shots (12.8 vs 9.9) and shots on target (4.4 vs 3.1) The value here lies with Forest. The odds of 2.25 for an away win seem generous given the massive gulf in form and confidence between these two sides. Wolves are statistically one of the worst teams in the league and show no signs of turning things around.