Verona vs Parma Prediction - 23rd November 2025

This Serie A clash pits two relegation strugglers against each other in what could be a crucial six-pointer at the bottom of the table. Verona, sitting in 19th place, are the only team in Serie A yet to register a win this season, though they've shown a knack for grinding out draws with 6 from their 11 matches. Parma aren't much better off in 17th, having managed just one victory all season. Looking at recent form, Verona's results tell a story of defensive resilience but attacking impotence. They've kept clean sheets in 30% of their last 10 games but are averaging just 0.60 goals scored per game. Their recent draws include a 0-0 at Lecce and a 2-2 home stalemate against Cagliari, while they've struggled against top sides like Inter (1-2 loss) and Como (1-3 defeat). At home specifically, Verona have drawn 2 of their last 3 but haven't found the net more than once in any of those matches. Parma's form shows slight improvement with 2 wins in their last 10, but their away record remains concerning. They've failed to win any of their last 3 away matches, drawing twice but scoring a paltry 0.33 goals per game on the road. Their recent results include a creditable 2-2 home draw against AC Milan and goalless draws with Como and Genoa. However, they've also shown vulnerability, losing 1-3 to Bologna and 1-2 to AS Roma. The head-to-head record surprisingly favors Verona, who have won 3 of their 4 home meetings against Parma. The last encounter ended 0-0, which could be a template for this fixture given both sides' scoring difficulties. Statistically, this has all the hallmarks of a low-scoring affair. Verona average just 1.00 goals at home while Parma manage only 0.33 away. Both teams have identical clean sheet rates of 30%, and the goal expectancy models project just 0.83 goals for each side. Given Verona's draw-heavy approach (6 draws in 11 games) and Parma's struggles on the road, the draw appears the most logical outcome here. The odds of 3.10 offer decent value for what looks like a highly probable result between two attack-shy teams.