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Bundesliga

FC BW Linz vs Austria Vienna Prediction - 22nd November 2025

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 16:00
Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.80
Implied Probability
55.6%
Expected Value
+4%

Austria Vienna Visit Struggling BW Linz

Analysis

This Bundesliga clash pits bottom-half side FC BW Linz against mid-table Austria Vienna, with both teams coming into this match with contrasting recent form but similar defensive vulnerabilities. FC BW Linz find themselves in 11th place with just 10 points from 13 games, and their recent form has been concerning with four losses in their last five matches. However, they did pull off a surprise 1-0 victory away at Austria Vienna on October 4th, showing they can compete with their upcoming opponents. At home, BW Linz have managed a 40% win rate but have been inconsistent, scoring 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Austria Vienna sit in 7th place with 19 points and have been more productive overall with 6 wins from 13 games. Their away form has been particularly impressive, boasting a 75% win rate on their travels and averaging 2.0 goals per game away from home. Despite this, they've lost two of their last three matches, including a 2-1 defeat to TSV Hartberg and a 3-0 loss at home to Red Bull Salzburg. The head-to-head record heavily favors Austria Vienna, who have won 5 of the 9 meetings between these sides. BW Linz have struggled particularly at home against Austria Vienna, winning just 1 of 4 encounters. However, that sole home victory came in their most recent meeting at this venue. Statistically, Austria Vienna hold the edge in attacking metrics, averaging 13.6 shots per game compared to BW Linz's 11, and 4.7 shots on target versus 2.56. They also enjoy more possession (51.3% vs 46.6%) and create more chances with 7.5 corners per game to BW Linz's 3.44. Both teams have shown defensive frailties this season. Austria Vienna have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 games, while BW Linz have managed 3. Both teams to score has occurred in 60% of Austria Vienna's recent games and 40% of BW Linz's matches. The goal expectancy data suggests a close contest with Austria Vienna slightly favored (1.60 expected goals vs 1.43 for BW Linz). Given both teams' tendencies to both score and concede, plus Austria Vienna's strong away attacking record (2.0 goals per game) and BW Linz's decent home scoring rate (1.6 goals per game), this match has the hallmarks of an open, goal-filled encounter. Key Points: • Austria Vienna have excellent away form with 75% win rate and 2.0 goals per game • BW Linz struggling recently with 4 losses in last 5 games • Head-to-head favors Austria Vienna (5-2-2 overall) • Both teams have defensive issues - Austria Vienna 60% BTTS rate, BW Linz 40% • BW Linz did win 1-0 away at Austria Vienna in October With both teams showing they can score and concede regularly, and Austria Vienna's potent away attack facing a BW Linz side that concedes at home, Both Teams to Score appears to offer good value in this encounter.