Dorking Wanderers vs Bath City Prediction - 18th April 2026

Dorking Wanderers welcome Bath City to the National League South in a fixture that pits the league's promotion contenders against a team fighting relegation. Dorking currently sit 2nd in the standings with 78 points, just behind Worthing. In stark contrast, Bath City are languishing in 22nd place with only 40 points. While the league table suggests a straightforward home win, the betting markets present better value in the goals markets. Analyzing recent form, Dorking have won only 3 of their last 10 games, but their home performance is more robust. In their last 4 home games, they have a 50% win rate, scoring 1.75 goals per game and conceding 1.25. Bath City, however, are struggling significantly on the road. Their last 6 away games show a 0% win rate, with an average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded. The most compelling statistical signal comes from the 'Both Teams To Score' metric. In their last 10 matches, Dorking have seen both teams score in 70% of games, and Bath City share that exact 70% rate. Dorking have not kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 outings, while Bath have only managed one clean sheet in that span. The head-to-head history reinforces this trend, as 5 of the last 9 meetings between these two sides saw both teams score. Goal expectancy models estimate a combined total of approximately 3.24 goals for this fixture. While the Over 2.5 market is priced at 1.35, the odds for Both Teams To Score - Yes sit at 1.83. Given the 70% historical BTTS rate for both sides, the true probability likely exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability of 54.6%, offering a significant edge. Dorking's defensive vulnerability at home (1.25 conceded/game) combined with Bath's leaky away defense (2.50 conceded/game) suggests goals will flow. Bath's inability to keep clean sheets away (10% rate) aligns with Dorking's attacking threat (1.75 goals/game). Recent results support this: Dorking lost 1-2 to AFC Totton recently, and Bath lost 1-2 to AFC Totton as well, showing both teams can find the net but also concede. Therefore, the recommended selection is Both Teams To Score - Yes.