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BrazilSerie B

Athletic Club vs Londrina Prediction — Elo & form

The Elo and form read on Athletic Club v Londrina (Serie B, 13th October 2026): the numbers behind the pick.

Athletic Club vs Londrina: Home Side Backed on Venue Record and Opponent's Slump

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Athletic Club host Londrina on 13 October in Serie B, and the venue records paint a clear picture of which side holds the advantage at this ground.

Athletic Club's home record over 20 games is 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses, with 1.15 goals scored per game and 1.1 conceded. That is a side that scores regularly at home and keeps things reasonably tight. Set against that, Londrina's away record over 20 games is 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses, with 0.95 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The gap in points per game — 1.35 for Athletic Club at home versus 0.85 for Londrina on the road — is the single most telling figure in this fixture.

Londrina arrive in a poor state of form. They have lost their last four matches, scoring just two goals and conceding eight in that stretch. The 0-2 defeat to Criciuma at home on 2 October came with a red card in the 87th minute, and the 0-2 loss at Vila Nova on 25 September showed the same fragility. Their only win in the last five was a 6-0 thrashing of Ponte Preta on 15 September, but that has been followed by four straight defeats.

Athletic Club, while not in perfect form either, have lost only their last two games — 1-2 at Goias on 6 October and 1-2 at home to Sport Recife on 1 October. Before those, they drew 2-2 at Fortaleza EC and 1-1 at home to Botafogo SP, and won 2-0 at Juventude on 13 September. The current run is a setback, but the underlying home record remains solid.

The head-to-head is mostly historical. Three of the four meetings date back to 2024 in Serie C, and in those Athletic Club won all three (2-1, 2-1 at home, 2-3 away). The only meeting within the last 12 months was on 20 June 2026 at Londrina's ground, which Londrina won 2-0. That single recent result at the reverse venue does not shift the picture when you look at the broader home and away records.

The counter-argument is straightforward: Athletic Club have dropped points in their last two home games (the 1-2 loss to Sport Recife and the 1-1 draw with Botafogo SP), and the one recent head-to-head meeting went to Londrina. Athletic Club's home record also includes 7 losses and 6 draws, meaning they are far from dominant at this ground.

Key Points:

  • Athletic Club's home record (7W 6D 7L, 1.35 PPG) sits well ahead of Londrina's away record (4W 5D 11L, 0.85 PPG)
  • Londrina have lost their last four matches, scoring 2 and conceding 8
  • Athletic Club's last two games were losses, but the home record over 20 games remains strong
  • The head-to-head is mostly historical (3 of 4 meetings from 2024), with only one recent meeting at Londrina's ground
  • Londrina's away record shows 8 of 20 games without scoring and 11 losses in 20

Verdict: Athletic Club home win at 2.2.

Athletic Club vs Londrina Best Odds