Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction - 10th October 2026

Fagiano Okayama arrive at Avispa Fukuoka's ground riding a remarkable run of form that makes them the clear favourites for this J1 League meeting. In their last five matches, the visitors have won four and lost one, scoring 10 goals at a rate of two per game while never failing to find the net. All five of those games have produced over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in every single one. Avispa Fukuoka, by contrast, are in a difficult patch. Their last five matches have yielded no wins — two draws and three losses — with just four goals scored and seven conceded. They have failed to score in two of those five games and have not kept a clean sheet in any of them. At home over 20 games, their record stands at 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses, averaging 1.05 points per game and conceding 1.65 per match. The head-to-head at this venue is limited to a single recent meeting: a 1–1 draw on 8 February 2026. The other recent meeting, at Fagiano's ground on 25 April, ended 2–0 to the hosts. With only two meetings in the last 12 months, the head-to-head does not offer a strong pattern, so current form and venue records carry more weight here. Fagiano's away record over 20 games is 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses, with 1.3 points per game and 1.3 goals scored per match. That compares favourably with Avispa's home figures of 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses at 1.05 points per game. Over the last 10 games across all venues, Fagiano have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3, scoring 1.6 per game, while Avispa have won just 1, drawn 3 and lost 6, scoring 1.0 per game. The main counter-argument is that Avispa's home record, while poor, is not without draws — 9 of their 20 home games have ended level — and the only recent meeting at this ground produced a 1–1 result. Fagiano have also conceded in all five of their recent matches, so a defensive breakthrough is not guaranteed. The 2–0 scoreline from the April meeting at Fagiano's ground suggests Fagiano can handle this fixture, but the draw at this specific venue on 8 February reminds us that Avispa can be stubborn at home. Key Points: - Fagiano Okayama have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 2 per game and never failing to score - Avispa Fukuoka have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 0.8 per game and conceding 1.4 - Fagiano's away record (7W 5D 8L in 20) outperforms Avispa's home record (4W 9D 7L in 20) - The only recent meeting at this venue was a 1–1 draw on 8 February 2026 - Fagiano have produced over 2.5 goals in all 5 of their last 5 matches The form gap between these two sides is stark, and Fagiano's consistent away output combined with Avispa's winless recent run makes the visitors the logical pick. I back the Fagiano Okayama away win.