SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction - 21st April 2026

The Chinese Super League fixture between SHANGHAI SIPG and Chongqing Tongliang Long presents a stark contrast in current form and league standing. Chongqing Tongliang Long sits comfortably in 2nd place with 14 points from 6 games, remaining unbeaten with 4 wins and 2 draws. In contrast, SHANGHAI SIPG occupies 10th place with just 2 points from 6 games, having lost 3 of their 6 matches. This significant gap in the standings is the primary signal for this preview. Recent performance metrics highlight this disparity. Chongqing has not lost any of their last 10 games, maintaining a 60% win rate. Their defensive record is exceptional, conceding only 0.50 goals per game and keeping a 70% clean sheet rate. Conversely, SHANGHAI SIPG has a 20% win rate in their last 10 games and concedes 1.50 goals per game on average. The goal expectancy data supports a lower scoring game, with a combined total of 2.05 goals expected, but the form difference is the key value driver. Home and away splits further support the away team. Chongqing has won 75% of their last 4 away games, scoring 1.25 goals per game. SHANGHAI SIPG has a 40% home win rate, scoring 1.40 goals per game at home but conceding 1.20. While SIPG holds a home advantage, Chongqing's overall superiority in the standings and defensive solidity suggests they are the stronger side. The market currently prices SHANGHAI SIPG as the favorite at 1.64, which offers poor value given the odds are below the 1.6 threshold for long-term profit. However, Chongqing Tongliang Long's Away Win odds of 5.05 offer significant value. With Chongqing unbeaten and SIPG struggling, the market appears to overvalue the home advantage. The lack of head-to-head history means we rely on current form, which heavily favors the visitors. Key Points: - Chongqing is 2nd (14 pts), SIPG is 10th (2 pts). - Chongqing is unbeaten in 10 games (6W 4D 0L). - Chongqing Away Win Rate: 75% (Last 4 games). - Chongqing Clean Sheet Rate: 70%. - SIPG Conceded: 1.50 goals/game. Given the strong form and value in the odds, the recommended selection is Chongqing Tongliang Long to win.