Emmen vs Jong AZ Prediction - 28th November 2025

This Eerste Divisie clash presents an intriguing betting opportunity despite the significant gap in league positions. Emmen sits comfortably in 9th place with 22 points, while Jong AZ languishes in 17th with just 17 points, but the recent form data tells a more nuanced story. Emmen has shown solid home form recently, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches at their own ground (2 wins, 2 draws). They've found the net in 60% of their recent games, averaging 1.30 goals per game overall but boosting that to 1.75 when playing at home. However, their defensive frailties are evident - they've conceded 1.70 goals per game across their last ten matches, with the same 1.75 average when playing at home. Jong AZ presents a fascinating contrast. Despite their lowly league position, they've been surprisingly effective on the road, winning 60% of their away matches while averaging an impressive 2.20 goals scored per game away from home. Their recent form shows some inconsistency, including a disappointing 0-1 home loss against 15th-placed FC OSS, but they've demonstrated their attacking capability with wins like the 3-1 victory over MVV and the 4-0 demolition of Willem II. The head-to-head record slightly favors Jong AZ (4 wins to 2), but crucially, both teams have scored in 5 of their 8 meetings. The most recent encounter ended 1-4 to Jong AZ, further highlighting the potential for goals from both sides. Statistical analysis supports the both teams to score narrative. Both sides maintain identical defensive records, conceding 1.70 goals per game, while their attacking outputs are respectable. The goal expectancy data projects 1.68 goals for Emmen and 1.98 for Jong AZ, suggesting a high-scoring affair is likely. Key Points: • Both teams have poor defensive records (1.70 goals conceded per game) • Emmen unbeaten in last 4 home games (2W, 2D) • Jong AZ strong away form with 60% win rate and 2.20 goals per game • Both teams scored in 60% of Emmen's recent games • 5/8 head-to-head matches saw both teams score • Combined goal expectancy suggests 3.66 goals in this match Given both teams' attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, coupled with the historical tendency for both to score in their encounters, the Both Teams To Score market offers excellent value at 1.44.