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Indian Super League

East Bengal II vs Kerala Blasters Prediction - 14th March 2026

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 11:30
Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
2.02
Implied Probability
49.5%
Expected Value
+37%

Kerala's Away Woes Point to Low-Scoring Affair in Kolkata

Analysis

East Bengal II host Kerala Blasters this Saturday looking to consolidate their position in the Indian Super League top five, while the visitors desperately search for their first point of the campaign. The hosts sit fifth with seven points from four games, boasting a solid +5 goal difference, whereas Kerala Blasters prop up the table with four straight defeats and a worrying -5 goal difference. East Bengal II have established themselves as one of the division's most reliable defensive units, particularly on home soil. Across their last ten outings, they've conceded just six goals at an average of 0.60 per game, keeping six clean sheets in the process. Their home record is particularly impressive, with only one defeat in their last eight (37.5% win rate, 50% draw rate) and a miserly 0.75 goals conceded per game at their own ground. Recent results highlight their resilience: they held high-flying Goa to a 0-0 draw on March 5th and narrowly lost 1-2 to second-placed Jamshedpur on February 27th. Sandwiched between those results were dominant displays against lower-tier opposition, including a 4-1 thrashing of SC Delhi and a 3-0 dismantling of NorthEast United. Kerala Blasters, conversely, arrive in Kolkata in disarray. They are one of two sides yet to register a point this season, and their away form makes for particularly grim reading. In their four away fixtures, they are winless with a 50% loss rate, managing just 0.50 goals per game while conceding exactly one goal per outing. The statistics reveal a team struggling to create any meaningful chances on the road: they have registered zero shots on target across their last four away matches, with an overall shot accuracy of 0% and just three attempts per game in total. Their recent 0-1 home defeat to Chennaiyin – a side averaging just 0.60 points per game – underscores their attacking impotence, having failed to score in three of their four ISL matches this season. The goal expectancies reflect this mismatch, with the home side projected at 1.31 goals and the visitors at a paltry 0.62. Kerala's inability to test goalkeepers away from home – evidenced by their 0.00 shots on target average – suggests East Bengal II's formidable clean sheet record (60% across all competitions) should remain intact. Key Points: * Kerala Blasters have failed to register a single shot on target in their last four away games, averaging just 3.00 shots per game with 0% accuracy * East Bengal II have kept six clean sheets in their last ten matches, conceding only 0.60 goals per game on average * The visitors have lost all four ISL fixtures this season, scoring just once and failing to find the net in three of those defeats * East Bengal II's home defence has been rock-solid, conceding just 0.75 goals per game and losing only once in their last eight at home * Goal expectancy models project Kerala Blasters at just 0.62 expected goals, highlighting their severe attacking struggles Summary: Kerala Blasters' alarming lack of attacking output on the road – zero shots on target in four away games – makes them extremely unlikely to breach East Bengal II's well-organised defence. With the hosts keeping clean sheets in 60% of their recent fixtures and the visitors failing to score in 75% of their away trips, the value lies in backing Both Teams to Score: No at 2.02.