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UAE U231-3Iran U23
Serie C - Girone B

Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana Prediction - 16th September 2026

Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 19:00
Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.91
Implied Probability
52.4%
Expected Value
+15%

Vis Pesaro vs Reggiana: A Clash of Extremes

Analysis

Vis Pesaro enters this Serie C - Girone B clash in a dire situation. Currently languishing at the bottom of the table in 20th place, the home side has managed only a single point from their opening four matches. Their defensive struggles are glaring, having conceded a staggering 27 goals in just 10 games, which equates to an alarming average of 2.70 goals per match. With a win rate of only 10% over their last 10 fixtures, the pressure on the home side to secure a result is immense. In stark contrast, Reggiana is establishing themselves as a serious contender for the top of the table, currently occupying 3rd place. While their away form has shown some fluctuations, their overall quality and consistency are significantly higher than those of their opponents. Reggiana has secured 8 points from 4 games, demonstrating a much more balanced approach to both attacking and defensive duties compared to the home side's erratic form. The most compelling narrative for this fixture is the head-to-head record, which is overwhelmingly in favor of the visitors. Reggiana has dominated this matchup completely, winning all five previous encounters against Vis Pesaro. The scorelines have been particularly one-sided, featuring multiple 3-0 victories and a 3-1 win. This historical dominance, combined with the massive disparity in current league standings, suggests a clear hierarchy in this matchup. Vis Pesaro's home performance has also been underwhelming, with no wins in their last three home fixtures. While they managed a 2-2 draw against Perugia recently, they have failed to provide a stable defensive foundation, maintaining a clean sheet rate of just 10% over their last 10 games. Reggiana possesses the tactical discipline and superior goal expectancy (1.50) to exploit a defense that is currently leaking goals at a high rate. Given the 5-0 head-to-head record and the gulf in league position, the visitors are the clear favorites to take the victory. Key Points: - Reggiana is currently 3rd in the table, while Vis Pesaro is in 20th. - Reggiana has won 100% of the last 5 head-to-head meetings against Vis Pesaro. - Vis Pesaro has conceded an average of 2.70 goals per game over their last 10 matches. - Reggiana's historical dominance includes several 3-0 and 3-1 scorelines against the home side. The chosen bet is Away Win.