Stockport County vs Leicester Prediction - 12th September 2026

Stockport County enters this fixture in a commanding position, currently sitting 3rd in the League One table. Their form has been impressive, boasting a 60% win rate over their last 10 matches. Most notably, they recently dismantled Wigan with a convincing 4-0 victory, showcasing an offensive potency that has seen them average 2.20 goals per game this season. At home, Stockport becomes even more dangerous, averaging 2.33 goals scored per game while maintaining a relatively solid defensive record. They are clinical in front of goal, averaging 9.00 shots on target per home game. In stark contrast, Leicester find themselves in a difficult position, languishing in 18th place. Their recent form is concerning, highlighted by a demoralizing 0-4 defeat to Oxford United. Leicester has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging just 0.90 goals per game across their last 10 outings. Furthermore, their away form is particularly worrying; they have failed to secure a single win in their last four away fixtures, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per game on the road. While they do manage to generate a high volume of shots away from home (23.00 per game), their accuracy remains low, with only 8.00 of those shots hitting the target. The statistical indicators point toward a high-scoring encounter. The goal expectancy (λ) for this match is calculated at 3.25, which strongly suggests a high likelihood of multiple goals being scored. When you combine Stockport’s prolific home scoring with Leicester’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road, the Over 2.5 Goals market emerges as the most compelling option. Stockport’s ability to create chances—averaging over 20 shots per game at home—should provide plenty of opportunities for their forwards to exploit a Leicester side that has struggled to keep clean sheets. While Stockport is the clear favorite to take all three points given the disparity in league positions (3rd vs 18th), the value lies in the goal market. Leicester's tendency to concede frequently away from home, coupled with Stockport's aggressive attacking style and recent 4-0 win, creates a perfect storm for a productive game. The high goal expectancy and the fact that both teams have recently been involved in matches where at least 4 goals were scored provide significant confidence in this selection. Key Points: - Stockport County is 3rd in the table with a 60% win rate in their last 10 games. - Leicester is in 18th place, having failed to secure a win in any of their last 4 away fixtures. - Stockport averages 2.33 goals scored per game at home. - Leicester concedes a high average of 1.75 goals per game on the road. - The goal expectancy (λ) for this match is a significant 3.25. The chosen bet is Over 2.5 Goals.