Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction - 17th April 2026

The Irish Premier Division continues with a crucial mid-table clash between Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athletic. St Patrick's Athletic enter this fixture in significantly stronger form, sitting 2nd in the table with 20 points from 11 games, while Drogheda United languish in 8th place with just 10 points. The disparity in points per game is stark: St Patrick's average 1.90 PPG compared to Drogheda's 0.80 PPG. Head-to-head records heavily favor the visitors. In the last 10 meetings, Drogheda United have not secured a single victory, with St Patrick's Athletic winning 5 matches and drawing 5. The most recent encounter on 2026-03-13 ended in a 4-1 victory for St Patrick's Athletic, highlighting the visitors' offensive capability against Drogheda. Statistical analysis supports the visitors' dominance. St Patrick's Athletic average 1.80 goals scored per game overall, while Drogheda United average 1.00 goals scored. Defensively, St Patrick's Athletic concede 0.90 goals per game, whereas Drogheda United concede 1.40. The shot statistics further emphasize the gap: St Patrick's Athletic average 19.90 shots per game compared to Drogheda United's 10.44. Given the head-to-head record where Drogheda has zero wins in the last decade of meetings, and the significant gap in league position and form, the value lies with the away side. The odds for an Away Win are 1.85, implying a 54.05% probability. Based on the H2H dominance and current form, the estimated probability is approximately 62%, providing a clear edge. While Drogheda United have shown some resilience with 5 draws in their last 10 games, the lack of H2H victories makes an Away Win the most logical selection. **Key Points:** - St Patrick's Athletic sit 2nd (20 pts) vs Drogheda United 8th (10 pts). - H2H: Drogheda United have 0 wins in the last 10 meetings. - St Patrick's Athletic average 1.80 goals scored/game vs Drogheda's 1.00. - Drogheda United have not won against St Patrick's Athletic in the last 10 fixtures. **Recommendation:** St Patrick's Athletic to Win.