First Division
Wexford vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction - 18th September 2026
Friday, September 18, 2026 at 18:45Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
3.16
Implied Probability
31.6%
Expected Value
+26%
Wexford vs Cobh Ramblers | Cobh Momentum Favored
Analysis
The First Division faces an intriguing matchup as Wexford host Cobh Ramblers. On paper, Wexford have historically performed well at home against Cobh, boasting a 60% home win rate in their head-to-head meetings. However, current form tells a much different story. Wexford have struggled significantly in recent weeks, managing a mere 30% win rate over their last 10 games. Their defensive record at home is particularly concerning, as they have conceded an average of 2.00 goals per game over their last four home fixtures. This defensive frailty was evident in their most recent outing, where they slumped to a 1-3 defeat against Finn Harps.
In contrast, Cobh Ramblers arrive in Wexford with significant momentum. They are coming off a commanding 3-2 victory over Cork City, a result that highlights their ability to find the back of the net against top-tier opposition. While their away win rate sits at 40%, their overall points per game (1.40) and improving goal-scoring trends suggest they are currently the more cohesive unit. Cobh's ability to produce goals on the road, averaging 1.40 per game, contrasts sharply with Wexford's struggle to maintain a clean sheet, which they have only managed once in their last 10 matches.
When evaluating the value, the market offers a compelling price for an away victory. With Wexford's home win rate at a low 25% and Cobh Ramblers showing superior recent form and a higher points-per-game average, the odds of 3.16 for a Cobh Ramblers win provide a clear edge. While Wexford have the home advantage, the statistical trend of their declining goal production and high goals-conceded average makes them vulnerable to a side as potent as Cobh.
Key Points:
- Wexford have a poor home record, winning only 25% of their last 4 home games.
- Wexford concede an average of 2.00 goals per game at home.
- Cobh Ramblers are in strong form, recently defeating Cork City 3-2.
- Cobh Ramblers have a 40% away win rate and a solid 1.40 goals per game average on the road.
- Wexford's win rate over their last 10 games is only 30%.
Bet: Cobh Ramblers to win