Serie A
Inter vs AS Roma Prediction - 5th April 2026
Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 18:45Prediction
HOME WIN
Odds
1.67
Implied Probability
59.9%
Expected Value
+17%
Inter vs AS Roma Betting Preview
Analysis
Inter vs AS Roma is a clash of top-tier Serie A sides. Inter sits comfortably in 1st place with 69 points, while AS Roma trails in 6th with 54 points. The historical head-to-head record heavily favors the home side, with Inter winning 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Inter's home performance shows they average 1.75 goals scored per game, though their recent form over the last 10 games is mixed (4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). However, their home record specifically is stronger. AS Roma presents a significant challenge due to their poor away form; they have not won any of their last 5 away games.
Goal expectancy analysis suggests a total of 2.8 goals (1.68 for Inter, 1.12 for Roma). While this hints at goals, the head-to-head data shows only 40% of past meetings saw Over 2.5 goals. The most reliable signal remains Inter's dominance in this fixture and Roma's inability to win away.
**Key Points:**
* Inter leads the table (69 pts) vs Roma (54 pts).
* Inter has won 80% of last 10 H2H matches.
* Roma has 0% win rate in last 5 away games.
* Inter averages 1.75 goals per home game.
* Betting odds for Home Win are 1.67.
**Summary**: Based on Inter's table position, H2H dominance, and Roma's poor away form, the Home Win at 1.67 offers value.