Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction — Elo & form

Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC meet at Cadiz's ground on 25 October, and the head-to-head tells a clear story. AD Ceuta FC have won both of their recent meetings — a 3–1 friendly at Cadiz's ground in July and a 2–1 game at their own ground in March — and in both cases the scoresheet carried a goal from each side. The away side's record on the road over 20 games (5 wins, 4 draws, 11 losses, 0.95 points per game) sits well above Cadiz's home record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses at 0.55 points per game.

The most telling statistic for this fixture is the scoring. AD Ceuta FC have found the net in all five of their recent matches, scoring 7 goals in that span. Their away record shows 13 of 20 games with both teams scoring, and their last 10 games across all venues have produced BTTS in 7 of 10. In the recent meeting at this venue, both sides found the scoresheet. Cadiz, for their part, scored in 11 of their 20 home games and netted 4 against Leganes just three weeks ago, proving the attack can click at home even if the last two outings produced nothing.

The counter-argument is Cadiz's recent scoring drought. They failed to score in both of their last two matches — a 0–2 defeat at Granada and a 0–1 home loss to Sporting Gijon — and their home record shows 9 of 20 games without a goal. AD Ceuta FC, meanwhile, have also dropped their last two, conceding 4 in those games. Both sides are in a patch of inconsistency, and Cadiz's home defence (1.45 goals conceded per game, 4 clean sheets in 20) is their most reliable asset. The older H2H meetings at this ground — a 0–0 draw and a 0–3 loss — are historical and do not reflect current form.

Key Points:

• AD Ceuta FC have scored in all 5 of their recent games and won both recent H2H meetings

• AD Ceuta FC's away record (5W 4D 11L, 0.95 PPG) outperforms Cadiz's home record (3W 2D 15L, 0.55 PPG)

• Both recent H2H meetings saw both teams score (1–3, 2–1)

• Cadiz failed to score in their last 2 matches but netted 4 at home against Leganes

• AD Ceuta FC's away BTTS record is 13/20; Cadiz's home BTTS record is 8/20

I'm backing both teams to score at 1.75. AD Ceuta FC's consistent scoring on the road and the fact that both recent meetings produced goals from both sides make this the most supported outcome.