Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction - 11th April 2026

The Chinese Super League fixture between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Wuhan Three Towns presents a stark contrast in form and stability. Chongqing Tongliang Long enters this match as the clear favorite, sitting 2nd in the league table with 8 points from 4 games. They remain unbeaten in their last 10 matches, boasting a 60% win rate and an impressive 70% clean sheet rate. Their defensive solidity is a key factor, conceding only 0.50 goals per game on average. Wuhan Three Towns, conversely, are struggling near the bottom of the table in 13th place with -1 points. Their recent form is poor, with 7 losses in their last 10 games. Away from home, their record is particularly weak, showing a 0% win rate in their last 5 away fixtures. They have conceded 2.50 goals per game in their last 10 matches, indicating a fragile defense. The statistical divergence suggests a low-scoring affair where Chongqing's defense could dominate. Chongqing's home defense concedes just 0.60 goals per game, while Wuhan's away scoring average is 1.00 goals per game. The goal expectancy models suggest a total of 2.40 goals, which leans slightly under the 2.5 threshold. However, the most compelling value lies in the Both Teams to Score market. Chongqing has kept 7 clean sheets in 10 games, while Wuhan has only managed 1 clean sheet in 10 games. Given Chongqing's defensive strength and Wuhan's inconsistent scoring away from home, the probability of a clean sheet for the home side is high. The odds for Both Teams to Score - No are 2.00, implying a 50% probability. Based on Chongqing's 70% clean sheet rate and Wuhan's 10% clean sheet rate, the true probability of BTTS No is significantly higher, offering a clear edge. While Chongqing's home draw rate is high (60% in last 5 home games), the defensive dominance suggests they can secure a clean sheet even in a draw. Therefore, the safest and most valuable selection is for both teams not to score. Key Points: - Chongqing Tongliang Long are unbeaten in 10 games with a 70% clean sheet rate. - Wuhan Three Towns have lost 7 of their last 10 games and concede 2.50 goals per game. - Chongqing's home defense concedes only 0.60 goals per game. - Wuhan's away scoring average is 1.00 goals per game. - Goal expectancy totals 2.40, favoring Under 2.5 or BTTS No. Summary: The data strongly supports a defensive performance from Chongqing. With a 70% clean sheet rate and Wuhan's struggles to score away (1.00 goals/game), the value lies in Both Teams to Score - No.