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APIA Leichhardt Tigers0-2Sydney United
Eerste Divisie

FC OSS vs Waalwijk Prediction - 21st November 2025

Friday, November 21, 2025 at 19:00
Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.90
Implied Probability
52.6%
Expected Value
+5%

Waalwijk Set to Continue Away Dominance

Analysis

This Friday evening clash presents a fascinating study in contrasting fortunes. FC OSS, languishing in 15th place, welcome a Waalwijk side sitting comfortably in 8th position, and the data tells a compelling story about why the visitors should be favored. FC OSS's home form has been nothing short of disastrous. In their last four matches on their own patch, they've managed zero wins, two draws, and two defeats, scoring a paltry 0.75 goals per game while shipping 1.75. Their recent 0-3 home loss to Helmond Sport, despite the visitors averaging just 1.30 goals per game, highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. While they've shown some resilience with draws against Willem II (1-1) and De Graafschap (1-1), these results came against teams with mixed form. Waalwijk, by contrast, have been excellent travelers. Their last four away games have yielded two wins and two draws, with an impressive 2.50 goals per game scoring rate. More tellingly, they've maintained a 100% both teams to score rate across their last ten matches, suggesting they both find the net and leak goals regularly. Their recent 2-1 victory at Dordrecht and 2-2 draw at Emmen demonstrate their ability to perform on the road. The head-to-head record heavily favors Waalwijk too. Five wins from seven meetings, including two victories at FC OSS's ground, with six of those seven encounters seeing over 2.5 goals. Waalwijk's attacking statistics are superior across the board - 45.6% shot accuracy compared to FC OSS's 23.6%, and they average 16.2 shots per game versus the home side's 12.0. While FC OSS have shown some improvement in their overall trend, their home struggles combined with Waalwijk's away prowess make this a straightforward value proposition. The visitors' higher points per game (1.70 vs 1.10), superior goal output, and better recent form all point to an away victory being the most likely outcome.