Deportivo La Coruna vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction - 23rd November 2025

This clash pits the league leaders Deportivo La Coruna against mid-table AD Ceuta FC, with the home side looking to extend their impressive run of form. Deportivo sits top of the Segunda División with 26 points from 14 games, powered by an attacking prowess that sees them averaging 2.10 goals per game. Their recent form has been particularly impressive, with three consecutive victories including a 3-1 triumph at Cordoba, a 3-0 home win over Cultural Leonesa, and a 2-0 away victory at Zaragoza. At home, Deportivo has been formidable, averaging 2.25 goals scored while conceding just 0.50 per game. They haven't lost in their last four home matches (2W-2D) and are creating plenty of chances with 11.44 shots per game and 4.33 on target. Their attacking momentum is clearly building, with a 3-game moving average of 2.67 goals scored. AD Ceuta FC presents a contrasting profile. Despite having the same 5W-3D-2L record in their last 10 games, they operate with a much more defensive philosophy. They average only 1.10 goals scored per game but boast an excellent 70% clean sheet rate. However, their away form tells a different story - just 33.33% win rate on the road with only 1.00 goal scored per away game. Their recent away performances have been concerning, with losses to Leganes (1-2) and Cordoba (0-2). The head-to-head record heavily favors Deportivo, who have won both previous encounters (1-0 and 2-1). Ceuta's defensive approach could make this a tight affair, but Deportivo's current attacking form and home advantage should prove decisive. The visitors' limited offensive output away from home, combined with Deportivo's solid home defense (0.50 goals conceded per home game), suggests the home side should control this encounter. Key Points: • Deportivo top of league with excellent home form (2.25 goals scored, 0.50 conceded per home game) • Ceuta very defensive (70% clean sheets) but struggles away (1 goal scored per away game) • Deportivo on 3-game winning streak, scoring freely • Head-to-head: Deportivo won both previous meetings • Ceuta lost 2 of last 3 away games The data points strongly toward a home victory. Deportivo's attacking firepower at home, combined with Ceuta's offensive limitations on the road, creates a clear advantage for the league leaders. The odds of 1.67 offer reasonable value for what appears to be a high-probability outcome.