Preview
LiveScoresXThe Premiership fixture between Dundee Utd and Aberdeen on 24 October carries a clear structural advantage for the hosts, and the numbers tell a compelling story.
Dundee Utd's home record over their last 20 home games is the standout figure here. They have won 10 of those 20, drawn 6 and lost 4, averaging 1.8 points per game. They score 1.4 goals per game at home and concede just 0.95, with 8 clean sheets in 20. Aberdeen's away record over 20 games tells a very different tale: 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses, 1.1 points per game, 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, with only 5 clean sheets. The gap in points per game alone — 1.8 to 1.1 — is the single most telling comparison in this fixture.
Dundee Utd arrive in reasonable form. Their last five matches produced 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, including a 1–0 home victory over Hibernian on 10 October and a 3–0 away win at ST Mirren on 19 September. Their most recent outing was a 1–1 draw at ST Johnstone on 17 October. Aberdeen, by contrast, have won 3 of their last 5, drawing 1 and losing 1, but that run includes a 0–1 home defeat to ST Johnstone on 11 October and a 1–1 draw at Hibernian on 19 September. Their 4–1 away win at Dunfermline on 3 October was a friendly, so the competitive away form in that stretch is a 4–0 win at Motherwell and a 1–1 draw at Hibernian.
The head-to-head at Dundee Utd's ground within the last 12 months produced a 0–0 draw on 24 February 2026. The two meetings at Aberdeen's ground in that same window were a 2–0 Aberdeen win on 9 May 2026 and a 1–1 draw on 27 December 2025. Older meetings at Dundee Utd's ground — a 2–0 and a 2–1 for the hosts — are historical record and do not carry the same weight as current form.
The best counter-argument is Aberdeen's recent scoring output. In their last five matches they have scored 12 goals at 2.4 per game, and over their last 10 games they average 1.6 scored per game compared to Dundee Utd's 1.1. Their defensive record over the last 10 is also tighter: 0.9 conceded per game to Dundee Utd's 1.6. Aberdeen's last 10 record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses edges Dundee Utd's 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses.
Key Points:
- Dundee Utd's home record (10W 6D 4L, 1.8 ppg) is markedly stronger than Aberdeen's away record (6W 4D 10L, 1.1 ppg)
- Aberdeen's 0–1 home loss to ST Johnstone on 11 October and 1–1 draw at Hibernian show vulnerability
- The recent head-to-head at Dundee Utd's ground ended 0–0, but the older meetings are historical
- Aberdeen's 2.4 goals per game over the last 5 is their most potent recent output
- Dundee Utd have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and kept clean sheets in 2
Verdict: Dundee Utd home win at 2.18.