Liga MX
Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro Prediction - 18th April 2026
Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 01:00Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
2.20
Implied Probability
45.5%
Expected Value
+32%
Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro Betting Preview
Analysis
The Liga MX clash between Mazatlán and Club Queretaro presents a fascinating statistical contrast, particularly regarding goal-scoring trends. Mazatlán sits 17th in the table with 11 points, while Club Queretaro is slightly higher at 15th with 15 points. However, the key insight lies in the specific venue performance and recent scoring form.
Mazatlán has shown resilience at home, securing a 50% win rate in their last four home fixtures, averaging 1.75 goals scored per game. Their defense is somewhat leaky, conceding 1.25 goals per home game. In contrast, Club Queretaro has struggled significantly on the road. In their last four away games, they have failed to win any matches and, crucially, have not scored a single goal (0.00 goals per game). This scoring drought is the primary signal for this match.
The head-to-head record also favors Mazatlán at home, where they have won 60% of their home meetings against Queretaro. While Queretaro won the last two meetings, those were not at Mazatlán's home venue. The historical home record for Mazatlán against this specific opponent is strong.
Given Queretaro's complete lack of away goals, the probability of both teams scoring is significantly reduced. Mazatlán is expected to score (1.75 avg), but Queretaro's 0.00 away scoring rate suggests they are unlikely to find the net. This creates value on the 'Both Teams to Score - No' market. The odds of 2.20 imply a 45.5% chance, but the statistical evidence points towards a higher probability of Queretaro failing to score.
**Key Points:**
- Mazatlán Home Win Rate: 50% in last 4 home games.
- Club Queretaro Away Goals: 0.00 in last 4 away games.
- Mazatlán Home Goals Scored: 1.75 per game.
- H2H Home Record: Mazatlán 60% win rate.
- BTTS Odds: 2.20 (Implied 45.5%).
Based on the 0.00 away goals for Queretaro and Mazatlán's solid home attack, the most logical outcome is that Queretaro will not score. Therefore, the recommended bet is Both Teams to Score - No.