Granada CF vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction - 7th December 2025

This Segunda División clash presents a fascinating tactical battle between two teams with contrasting recent form but similar defensive solidity. Granada CF, despite sitting in 14th place, has been remarkably difficult to beat recently with just one loss in their last 10 games. Their home form tells an interesting story - while they've only won 25% of their last 4 home matches, they haven't lost any, drawing 75% of the time. More importantly, they've been defensively formidable at home, conceding just 0.5 goals per game while keeping clean sheets in half their matches. AD Ceuta FC arrives in 8th position with a more volatile recent record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. While they've shown they can compete with top teams - notably beating Almeria 3-2 and Burgos 1-0 - their away form raises concerns. They've managed just 0.67 goals per game on the road this season and have lost half of their last 6 away matches. Their recent 1-0 Copa del Rey loss to CD Guadalajara suggests they might be feeling the effects of a congested schedule, having played 3 matches in the last 14 days compared to Granada's single fixture. The statistical picture heavily favors a low-scoring affair. Granada averages 15.25 shots at home compared to Ceuta's paltry 8.25 away, yet both teams have maintained 50% clean sheet rates recently. The head-to-head record, while limited to one meeting, saw Granada win 2-0 at home. With goal expectancies sitting at just 0.92 for the home side and 0.58 for the visitors, all indicators point toward another tight, defensive battle where goals will be at a premium.