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Consadole Sapporo0-0Tochigi City
League One

Wigan vs Stockport County Prediction - 5th September 2026

Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 11:30
Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.10
Implied Probability
47.6%
Expected Value
+16%

Stockport County Set to Overpower a Struggling Wigan

Analysis

This League One fixture presents a stark contrast in momentum and league position. Wigan enter this match at the bottom of the table, having failed to secure a single point from their opening three fixtures. Their win rate stands at a dismal 20% over their last 10 games, and they have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging just 0.90 goals per game. While they have managed to keep some games respectable, their inability to turn draws into wins or losses into points has left them in a precarious position. In contrast, Stockport County is enjoying a dominant start to the campaign. Currently sitting in the top 5, they have secured a 60% win rate over their last 10 matches, producing a massive +12 goal difference. Stockport's offensive output is a primary concern for Wigan; the visitors average 2.00 goals per game and maintain a commanding 68.5% possession rate. Their ability to dictate the tempo of the game is reflected in their high shot volume (20.25 per game) and superior shot accuracy. When looking at the venue and head-to-head trends, Stockport County has the upper hand in the most recent encounter, securing a 4-2 victory. While Wigan has a decent home record historically against Stockport (66.67% win rate), their current form suggests they lack the clinical edge required to stop a high-functioning Stockport side. Stockport's away win rate of 66.67% further reinforces their status as favorites. With Wigan struggling for identity and Stockport County playing with high confidence and superior technical metrics, the value lies in the away side's ability to overwhelm the hosts. The odds of 2.10 for a Stockport County win offer a significant edge given the gulf in current league standing and goal-scoring efficiency. Key Points: - Wigan is currently bottom of League One with 0 points from 3 matches. - Stockport County is in the top 5, boasting a 60% win rate over their last 10 games. - Stockport County averages 2.00 goals per game compared to Wigan's 0.90. - Stockport County maintains 68.5% possession, significantly higher than Wigan's 51.0%. - Stockport County won the most recent head-to-head 4-2. Recommended Bet: Away Win