Cadiz vs FC Andorra Prediction - 12th April 2026

The Segunda División clash between Cadiz and FC Andorra presents a clear contrast in form and standing. Cadiz sits in 18th place with 38 points from 34 games, while FC Andorra occupies 12th place with 46 points. The disparity in recent performance is stark. Over the last 10 matches, Cadiz has managed only 1 win and 1 draw, resulting in a 10% win rate. In contrast, FC Andorra has secured 5 wins in their last 10 games, boasting a 50% win rate. Home advantage does not seem to help Cadiz. In their last 5 home fixtures, Cadiz has failed to win a single match. Their home offensive output is particularly concerning, averaging just 0.40 goals per game at home, while conceding 2.20 goals per game. This defensive frailty is a major vulnerability. Recent home results include heavy defeats such as 0-3 against Malaga and 0-2 against Almeria. FC Andorra arrives with a potent away attack. In their last 4 away games, they have maintained a 50% win rate. Their away scoring average is impressive at 2.75 goals per game, compared to Cadiz's home scoring of 0.40. Goal expectancy models suggest a combined total of roughly 3.30 goals (Home 0.82, Away 2.48), indicating a high probability of goals, but the primary signal is Andorra's ability to win. Advanced metrics further support Andorra. They average 15.60 shots per game with a 38.7% shot accuracy, compared to Cadiz's 9.40 shots and 29.4% accuracy. Andorra's trend confidence is 46.67%, indicating improving form, while Cadiz's is only 13.33%, indicating declining form. Andorra's recent 6-2 victory over Racing Santander highlights their offensive firepower. The betting market reflects this gap. An FC Andorra victory is priced at 2.20. This implies a 45.45% probability. Given Andorra's superior form, higher league position, and the significant goal expectancy differential, the true probability of an away win appears to be around 60%. This creates a value edge of over 14%, which exceeds the 6% threshold required for a worthwhile bet. The data strongly points to an away victory.