Super League
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chengdu Better City Prediction - 22nd November 2025
Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 07:30Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.75
Implied Probability
57.1%
Expected Value
+5%
BTTS Value in Mismatched Sichuan Derby
Analysis
This Super League clash presents a fascinating dynamic between two teams at opposite ends of the table. Chengdu Better City, sitting pretty in 3rd place with 59 points, travel to face Sichuan Jiuniu, who languish in 12th with just 26 points. The gulf in quality is evident, but the betting markets might be overlooking some crucial patterns.
Chengdu's overall form has been solid with 1.30 points per game over their last 10 matches, but their away performances tell a different story. They've drawn 4 of their last 5 away games, including entertaining 3-3 and 2-2 stalemates against Hangzhou Greentown and Qingdao Youth Island respectively. This draw-heavy tendency on the road suggests they're not completely dominant away from home.
Sichuan, despite their struggles, have shown some fight recently. They've managed 3 wins in their last 10 games, including a creditable 2-1 victory over Beijing Guoan. At home, they've been more competitive with a 50% win rate in their last 4 home matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game at their own ground.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Chengdu (4W-1D-1L), but it's worth noting that both teams have scored in 4 of those 6 encounters. The last meeting ended 5-0 to Chengdu, but prior games were more competitive with scores like 3-1 and 2-1.
Statistically, Chengdu dominates possession (53.8% vs 42.5%) and takes more shots (12.7 vs 10.7), but Sichuan actually boast better shot accuracy at home (47.4% vs Chengdu's 32.9% away accuracy). Both teams have been scoring and conceding at similar rates recently, with each showing 60% both teams to score rates.
Given Chengdu's propensity for draws on the road and Sichuan's ability to score at home, both teams finding the net looks like the smart play here.