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Liga Profesional Argentina

Lanus vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction - 9th February 2026

Monday, February 9, 2026 at 22:15
Prediction
HOME WIN
Odds
2.16
Implied Probability
46.3%
Expected Value
+40%

Lanus to Continue Dominance Over Struggling Talleres

Analysis

The Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez sets the stage for a Liga Profesional Argentina clash where the form guide and historical record paint a very clear picture. Lanus, sitting pretty near the top of the table with an unbeaten start (two wins and a draw), welcome a Talleres Cordoba side that has stumbled out of the blocks with just one win from their opening three fixtures. Lanus's recent results showcase a team full of goals and resilience. They've netted 17 times in their last ten outings, averaging 1.70 per game. More importantly, at home they are a force, boasting a 66.67% win rate from their last six games at their fortress, scoring 1.67 and conceding a miserly 0.67 per match. Their 2-1 victory over Union Santa Fe and 4-1 Copa Argentina thrashing of Sarmiento de La Banda at home highlight their attacking threat. The 2-2 draw away to Instituto Cordoba last time out was a minor blip, but returning to home soil should see them back to their best. In contrast, Talleres Cordoba's form is concerning, particularly on the road. They've managed just a single win in their last five away matches (a 1-0 victory over Velez Sarsfield back in November) and are scoring a paltry 0.40 goals per game on their travels. Their recent 2-1 defeat away to Velez and 2-0 loss at Boca Juniors underline their struggles against established top-flight opposition. While they kept a clean sheet in their last match—a 2-0 Copa Argentina win over Argentino de Merlo—that was at home against lower-tier opposition, which does little to inspire confidence for this trip. The head-to-head history is perhaps the most damning statistic for the visitors. In nine previous meetings, Talleres Cordoba has never beaten Lanus, who hold a commanding 7-2-0 record. The last five encounters have all ended in victory for El Granate, with four of those wins being by a single goal (1-0, 1-0, 2-1, 2-1, 1-0). This psychological edge cannot be overstated. From a betting perspective, the market has priced Lanus as favourites at 2.16. Given their superior form, formidable home record, and total historical dominance, this represents significant value. Talleres's inability to score away from home (0.40 avg) plays perfectly into Lanus's solid home defence. While the visitors have kept clean sheets in 50% of their last ten games overall, facing a Lanus attack that has scored in 9 of their last 10 is a different proposition entirely. **Key Points:** * **Form:** Lanus is unbeaten in the league (2W, 1D); Talleres has lost two of its first three (1W, 0D, 2L). * **Home/Away Split:** Lanus wins 66.67% of home games; Talleres wins just 20% of away games and scores only 0.40 goals per match on the road. * **Head-to-Head:** Lanus has won the last five meetings and is undefeated in nine against Talleres (7W, 2D). * **Goal Trends:** Lanus sees Both Teams To Score in 70% of games; Talleres sees it in only 30%. * **Recent Results:** Lanus's last home match was a 2-1 win; Talleres's last away match was a 2-1 loss. **Summary & Bet:** All the data points towards a home victory. Lanus is stronger, in better form, plays at home, and has a massive psychological hold over their opponents. At odds of 2.16, backing a **Lanus win** offers excellent value for a bet with a high probability of success.