Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction - 7th December 2025

This Sunday night clash at the Bernabeu presents an intriguing battle between Real Madrid's perfect home record against Celta Vigo and the visitors' surprisingly strong away form. While the league leaders sit just one point behind Barcelona, Celta arrive in the capital having won 5 of their last 7 away matches. Real Madrid's recent form shows some vulnerability despite their position. Three draws in their last six league games, including 1-1 against Girona and 2-2 versus Elche, suggest they're not quite at their ruthless best. However, their home fortress remains intact with a 100% win rate in their last three matches at the Bernabeu, where they're averaging 2.33 goals scored while conceding just 0.33. Celta Vigo's away statistics make for impressive reading. They've been scoring 1.86 goals per game on their travels while keeping things tight at the back with only 0.86 conceded. Their recent away victories include impressive 3-2 wins at Osasuna and 2-1 at Levante, showing they can trouble even solid defensive units. The head-to-head record heavily favors Real Madrid (8 wins, 1 draw), but more importantly for betting purposes, these encounters tend to produce goals. Seven of the nine meetings have seen over 2.5 goals, with both teams finding the net in six of them. The last meeting ended 3-2, continuing the high-scoring trend. Looking at the tactical matchup, Real Madrid averages 19.70 shots per game with 58.6% possession, while Celta still manage a respectable 13.25 shots and 51.5% possession. Both teams have been scoring consistently - Real Madrid 1.80 per game overall, Celta 1.70 - with neither showing defensive frailty that would suggest a clean sheet is likely. The goal expectancy data points to around 2.7 goals in this match, which aligns perfectly with the historical patterns between these sides. With Real Madrid's home attacking prowess (2.33 goals per game at home) meeting Celta's away scoring form (1.86 goals per game away), we have all the ingredients for both teams to score. Key Points: • Real Madrid perfect in last 3 home games (100% win rate) • Celta Vigo excellent away form: 71.43% win rate in last 7 away games • H2H shows high-scoring games: 7/9 over 2.5 goals, 6/9 both teams score • Both teams averaging 1.70+ goals per game this season • Recent meetings include 3-2, 2-2, and 4-0 scorelines Given the patterns, attacking form of both sides, and the historical nature of this fixture, both teams finding the net looks the most logical betting proposition at decent odds.