Preview
LiveScoresXFC Cincinnati host New England Revolution on 14 October in Major League Soccer, and the venue split tells a compelling story that leans firmly toward the hosts.
The strongest case for FC Cincinnati comes from the home-and-away comparison. Over 20 home games from November 2025 to September 2026, they have won 12, drawn 3 and lost 5, averaging 1.95 points per game and scoring 2.75 per match. New England Revolution, by contrast, have won just 6 of their 20 away games over 14 months, drawing 3 and losing 11, with 1.05 points per game and 1.35 goals scored. That gap in win percentage and scoring output is the single most telling statistic in this fixture, and it points to a home side that is significantly more dangerous on their own ground than the visitors are on theirs.
New England's current form adds urgency to the away side's struggles. They have lost their last two matches, both by 0–3 — at home to Seattle Sounders on 10 October and away to Real Salt Lake on 27 September. In those two games they scored nothing and conceded six. Their last five overall reads 3W 0D 2L, but the two most recent results are the ones that matter most here, and a side that has been blanked in consecutive matches is unlikely to find its rhythm away from home.
FC Cincinnati, for their part, are not in perfect shape. Their last five games produced 1W 2D 2L, with 14 goals conceded across those matches. The 0–5 defeat at Philadelphia Union on 9 September, where they received a red card in the 16th minute, and the 3–3 draw at home to Charlotte on 12 September show a side that can be vulnerable. However, they responded with a 3–1 win at Atlanta United on 10 October, and their home record over 20 games — 12 wins, 5 clean sheets, 2.75 goals per game — suggests they are a different proposition on their own ground.
The head-to-head at this venue is thin. There have been no meetings at FC Cincinnati's ground within the last 12 months. The two recent meetings both took place at New England's ground: a 6–1 New England win in March 2026 and a 1–1 friendly in January 2026. Older meetings at FC Cincinnati's ground (1–0 in April 2025 and 1–2 in June 2024) are historical and do not carry much weight for current form.
The best counter-argument is that FC Cincinnati's recent defensive record is poor. They have conceded 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches and have not kept a clean sheet in that span. New England's xG against over their last six games with data is 1.04 per game, suggesting they have been solid defensively when they are not being outgunned. The 6–1 scoreline from March at New England's ground also reminds us that this is not a one-sided rivalry, and a motivated New England side could find a way to compete.
Key Points:
- FC Cincinnati's home record: 12W 3D 5L in 20 games, 2.75 goals scored per game
- New England Revolution's away record: 6W 3D 11L in 20 games, 1.35 goals scored per game
- New England have lost their last two matches, both 0–3, scoring nothing
- FC Cincinnati won 3–1 at Atlanta United on 10 October, their only win in the last five
- No head-to-head meetings at FC Cincinnati's ground in the last 12 months
The home record, the visitors' blanked last two games and the scoring gap in the venue split all point the same way. My pick is the FC Cincinnati home win at 2.08.