Preview
LiveScoresXFC Juarez and Atlante FC meet at Juarez's ground in Liga MX, and this is a fixture where both teams are struggling to find their footing. The question is which side's struggles are deeper, and the numbers suggest Atlante FC's are shallower.
FC Juarez have been in genuine trouble of late. Their last 10 games across all venues produced just 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses, at 0.4 points per game. The most recent of those was a 0-5 defeat at Cruz Azul's ground on 18 October, three days before this kickoff, where they failed to score and conceded five. Before that, they lost 1-2 at Leon and 1-2 at Santos Laguna on the road, and drew 1-1 at home to Club Tijuana. Their only recent home win was a 2-0 over Tigres UANL on 19 September. In their last 5 games, FC Juarez scored 5 and conceded 10, averaging 1 goal and 2 conceded per game.
Atlante FC, while also in poor form, have fared somewhat better. Their last 10 games yielded 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses at 0.7 points per game. They lost 1-2 at home to Pumas on 17 October (with a red card in the 34th minute) and 0-2 at Queretaro on 10 October, but they beat Monterrey 4-2 at home on 26 September and drew 1-1 at Puebla on 19 September. In their last 5, they scored 6 and conceded 10, averaging 1.2 goals per game.
Looking at the venue records over 20 games each, FC Juarez at home have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses (1.1 points per game), scoring 1.55 per game and conceding 1.8. Atlante FC away have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses (0.8 points per game), scoring 1.1 per game and conceding 1.75. FC Juarez's home record looks stronger in terms of points per game, but Atlante FC's recent form across all venues is clearly the better of the two.
The head-to-head at this venue within the last 12 months is a single meeting: a 2-0 win for FC Juarez on 28 June in a friendly. The older meetings from 2018 and 2019 are historical and do not carry much weight for current form. The full head-to-head across 9 meetings spans 9 years, with 4 wins each and 1 draw, so it is essentially a wash.
The strongest case for Atlante FC is the gap in recent form. FC Juarez have lost 8 of their last 10 and just got demolished 0-5. Atlante FC, while losing their last 2, have a better points-per-game record over the same period and a more balanced record of 1W 4D 5L. Their away record over 20 games shows they score 1.1 per game and concede 1.75, which is competitive against a FC Juarez side that just conceded 5 in their last outing.
The counter-argument is that FC Juarez's home record over 20 games is solid at 1.1 points per game, and they did beat Tigres 2-0 at home four weeks ago. The recent head-to-head at this venue also went to Juarez. Both teams are in poor form, which can make outcomes unpredictable.
Key Points:
- FC Juarez: 1W 1D 8L in last 10; just lost 0-5 to Cruz Azul on 18 October
- Atlante FC: 1W 4D 5L in last 10; lost last 2 but better recent points per game (0.7 vs 0.4)
- FC Juarez home (20 games): 6W 4D 10L, 1.55 scored/game, 1.8 conceded/game
- Atlante FC away (20 games): 3W 7D 10L, 1.1 scored/game, 1.75 conceded/game
- Recent H2H at this venue: FC Juarez 2-0 (28 June, friendly)
The market prices Atlante FC at 2.46 for the away win, implying a 40.65% chance. Based on the form gap and the strength of Atlante FC's recent record compared to FC Juarez's struggles, I rate the away win at around 43%, which gives a reasonable edge. My pick is the away win at 2.46.