FC Kharkiv vs Livyi Bereh Prediction — Elo & form

FC Kharkiv arrive at this Premier League fixture riding a five-game winning run that has seen them score 14 goals while conceding just one. The results tell a clear story: a 2–1 win at Chornomorets on 10 October, a 2–0 home win over Bukovyna on 19 September, a 2–0 away win at Prykarpattia in the Cup on 16 September, a 5–0 home demolition of Obolon'-Brovar on 5 September, and a 3–0 away win at Zorya Luhansk on 31 August. At home, their record over 20 games is 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game and 0.65 conceded. In their last 10 matches across all venues, FC Kharkiv have scored 2.5 goals per game and conceded 0.7, with 6 clean sheets in that span.

The visitors, Livyi Bereh, are in a very different state of affairs. Their last five matches have yielded just one win, two draws and two losses, with 4 goals scored and 5 conceded. Their most recent outing was a 1–3 home defeat to Zorya Luhansk on 12 October, and their current run is a single loss. Their away record over 20 games — 9 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses — spans a full 12 months back to September 2025, meaning the older results dilute what we can read from current form. In their last 10 games across all venues, Livyi Bereh have scored just 1.1 goals per game and conceded 0.9, with 3 of those 10 ending in a failure to score.

The head-to-head between these two sides is entirely historical, with no meetings within the last 12 months. The four older encounters show FC Kharkiv winning two, drawing one and losing one, including a 1–0 win at this ground in June 2025. While that record is dated, it does not contradict the current form picture.

The counter-argument is that Livyi Bereh's away record over 20 games is not poor — 9 wins in 20 — and they have kept 12 clean sheets in that span. However, the most recent away results paint a less encouraging picture: a 0–1 loss at Polessya on 13 September, a 1–1 draw at Ahrobiznes Volochysk on 9 September, and a 0–0 draw at Chornomorets on 4 September. Their last away win was a 2–0 at Epitsentr Dunayivtsi on 19 September, and in that stretch they have failed to score in two of three away games. FC Kharkiv's defensive record in their last five — conceding just one goal — makes it difficult to see how Livyi Bereh's 0.8 goals-per-game scoring rate will find an opening.

Key Points:

• FC Kharkiv have won their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 1

• Livyi Bereh have lost their last game and sit at 1W 2D 2L in their last 5

• FC Kharkiv's home record: 11W 5D 4L in 20 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game

• Livyi Bereh's away scoring: 1.2 goals per game over 20 games, with 7 of 20 ending in a failure to score

• The head-to-head is historical (no meetings in the last 12 months), but FC Kharkiv won the one meeting at this ground

With FC Kharkiv in exceptional form and Livyi Bereh struggling on the road, the home win at 1.57 offers a solid return for a team that has been dominant in every metric over the last five weeks.