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Universitatea Craiova1-0Sabah FA
Serie A

Parma vs Udinese Prediction - 29th November 2025

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 14:00
Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.95
Implied Probability
51.3%
Expected Value
+17%

Bottom-Half Battle: Parma vs Udinese Analysis

Analysis

This Serie A clash pits two struggling sides against each other, with Parma (15th, 11 points) hosting Udinese (10th, 15 points) in what could be a crucial relegation six-pointer. Both teams have been inconsistent this season, but the data reveals some interesting patterns that could guide our betting approach. Parma's recent form shows signs of life, with two wins in their last three matches including an impressive 2-2 home draw against AC Milan and a 1-2 away victory at Verona. However, their home record remains concerning - just 2 wins from 7 home games this season, conceding 1.43 goals per game at their own ground. They've kept only 2 clean sheets in 10 matches overall, highlighting defensive frailties. Udinese arrive with slightly better league position but worrying away form. They've lost 2 of their last 3 away games without scoring, managing just 0.67 goals per game on the road while conceding 2.00. Their recent 0-3 home loss to Bologna and 0-2 defeat at AS Roma suggest a team struggling for confidence. Crucially, they've kept only 1 clean sheet in 10 matches - the worst defensive record among the two sides. The head-to-head history favors goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of 9 previous meetings (66.7%) and over 2.5 goals landing in 6 of 9 encounters. Parma's home record against Udinese shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, but more importantly, goals have flowed in these fixtures. Statistical analysis reveals both teams create chances but struggle defensively. Parma average 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game, while Udinese average 1.50 scored but 1.80 conceded. Both teams have shown they can score but also leak goals regularly. Key Points: - Both teams have poor defensive records (Parma 20% clean sheets, Udinese 10%) - Udinese's away form is dire (0 wins in last 3 away games) - Head-to-head shows 66.7% both teams to score rate - Parma showing slight improvement with 2 wins in last 3 games - Both teams average over 1 goal scored per game Given the defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and the historical trend of goals in this fixture, Both Teams to Score appears the most logical betting angle. Neither side has demonstrated the ability to keep opponents out consistently, and both have shown they can find the net even against stronger opposition.