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Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction - 22nd November 2025

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 15:00
Prediction
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.40
Implied Probability
41.7%
Expected Value
+44%

Motherwell to Capitalize on Kilmarnock's Home Woes

Analysis

This Saturday's Premiership clash pits two teams heading in opposite directions. Kilmarnock are languishing in 10th place with just 10 points from 12 games, while Motherwell sit comfortably in 6th with 15 points from 11 matches. The form gap between these sides is stark and tells the real story here. Kilmarnock's recent form has been nothing short of disastrous. They've managed just 2 wins in their last 10 games, with their recent results reading like a horror story: 4-0 thrashing at Celtic, 3-1 loss at Falkirk, 1-0 home defeat to Aberdeen, 3-1 loss at Rangers, and 0-3 home hammering by Hearts. They're conceding a worrying 2.00 goals per game and have kept only 2 clean sheets in 10 matches. Their home form is particularly alarming - just a 20% win rate at their own ground. Motherwell, by contrast, have been solid. They've collected 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10, showing much more consistency. They're scoring 1.50 goals per game and have a respectable 30% clean sheet rate. Their away form is decent too, with a 40% win rate on the road and they're averaging 1.40 goals scored away from home. The head-to-head record shows this fixture has historically been tight (2 wins each, 5 draws), and they drew 2-2 in their last meeting. However, current form should trump history here. Motherwell dominate possession (62.1% vs Kilmarnock's 36.8%) and are far more accurate with their passing (86.1% vs 69.2%). Given Kilmarnock's defensive frailties at home (conceding 1.60 per game) and Motherwell's superior attacking output and overall form, the visitors look well-placed to take all three points here.