Preview
LiveScoresXHenan Jianye have not won a match in five games. Every one of their last five fixtures ended in a draw — a 2–2 at Sichuan Jiuniu on 9 October, a 1–1 at Wuhan Three Towns on 12 September, a 0–0 against Chengdu Better City at home on 6 September, a 1–1 with Chongqing Tongliang Long at home on 29 August, and a 4–4 at Shenyang Urban on 23 August. The pattern is striking: no victories, no defeats, and a steady drip of goals in both directions (8 scored, 8 conceded). Their home record over 20 games is respectable at 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses, but the current form tells a very different story.
Tianjin Teda, by contrast, arrive in excellent shape. They have won their last three matches — a 1–0 away at Chengdu Better City on 10 October, a 1–0 home win over Shenyang Urban on 12 September, and a 2–1 against Hangzhou Greentown at home on 6 September. In those three games they scored 4 and conceded just 1, picking up 3 clean sheets in their last five overall. Their away record over 20 games is 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses, which is not impressive on its own, but the recent form is a clear step up from that baseline.
The most telling evidence, however, points to the total number of goals. Henan Jianye's last five matches saw under 2.5 goals in three of the five games. Tianjin Teda's last five saw under 2.5 in four of the five. The head-to-head record, spanning over a decade, shows that of 21 meetings between these two sides, 16 went under 2.5 goals. Henan Jianye's home record over 20 games has 12 under 2.5, and Tianjin Teda's away record over 20 games has 14 under 2.5. Every angle points to a low-scoring outcome.
The counter-argument is that Henan Jianye do score at home — 1.6 goals per game over 20 home fixtures — and they netted 4 in their last away game against Shenyang Urban. The one recent head-to-head meeting in May 2026 produced 3 goals (Tianjin Teda 1–2 Henan Jianye). Henan Jianye also saw both teams score in 4 of their last 5 matches, which could keep the scoring door open. Tianjin Teda's away record does include 8 losses in 20 games, so they are not a guaranteed threat on the road.
Still, the weight of evidence favours a tight, low-scoring affair. Tianjin Teda's defensive solidity in their last three games (1 goal conceded) combined with Henan Jianye's inability to break clear of the draw suggests a match where neither side will find the breakthrough with ease.
Key Points:
- Henan Jianye have drawn all 5 of their last matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8
- Tianjin Teda have won their last 3, conceding only 1 goal in those games
- 16 of 21 head-to-head meetings between these sides went under 2.5 goals
- Henan Jianye's home record: 12 of 20 games under 2.5; Tianjin Teda's away record: 14 of 20 under 2.5
- Both teams' last 5 matches produced under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 games combined
Verdict: I'm backing under 2.5 goals at 2.06.