Preview
LiveScoresXLatina's home record tells a clear story when it comes to goals. Across 20 home games dating back to 2 November 2025, the club has kept 16 of those matches to two or fewer goals, conceded just 0.7 per game and recorded 8 clean sheets. That is a defensive profile that has held up over a long stretch, and it sets the tone for what to expect on 14 October.
Atalanta II's away numbers paint a similar picture. Over 20 away games from 26 November 2025 to 11 October 2026, the visitors have finished 13 of those matches under 2.5 goals, though their defence has been less reliable, conceding 1.55 per game and managing only 3 clean sheets. The attack has scored 1.1 goals per game away, but the overall scoring output still leans towards a low total.
The head-to-head is dated, with only two meetings between these sides. The most recent, on 4 January 2026 at Atalanta II's ground, ended 1–2 to Latina. The earlier meeting at Latina's ground on 24 August 2025 was a 1–0 home win. The most recent meeting produced three goals, while the earlier one was a 1–0 win, but the sample is small and the home meeting is over 12 months old, so it carries limited weight as a current-form indicator.
The counter-argument centres on Atalanta II's recent output. In their last 10 games, the visitors have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5, scoring 13 and conceding 16. That is a more productive record than Latina's 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses over the same span. Atalanta II's last 5 matches also saw 3 of 5 games go over 2.5 goals, and the 20-game away record does include 7 over 2.5. However, the 13 under 2.5 in that same 20-game stretch still dominates the pattern.
Latina's own recent form is a concern. The home side has won none of their last 5 matches, drawing 3 and losing 2, and picked up two red cards in that stretch. Their last two games were 1–1 draws, and they have not kept a clean sheet in any of those 5. That said, the 20-game home record remains the most telling indicator, and the 16-under-2.5 figure is hard to ignore.
Key Points:
- Latina's 20-game home record: 16 of 20 games finished under 2.5 goals, 0.7 conceded per game
- Atalanta II's 20-game away record: 13 of 20 games under 2.5 goals
- The most recent head-to-head meeting produced 3 goals; the earlier one at Latina's ground was a 1–0 win
- Atalanta II lost their last two matches, conceding 4 goals in those games
- Atalanta II's last 10 games saw 6 over 2.5, a mild counter-trend to the 20-game away under pattern
The 20-game home and away records both point firmly to a low-scoring outcome, and the head-to-head, while dated, reinforces that pattern. At 1.95, under 2.5 goals offers a price that reflects the evidence without overpricing it. That is the pick.