Team Altamura vs Potenza Prediction — Elo & form

Potenza arrive at Team Altamura's ground riding a five-game winning run that has produced 17 goals and just 7 conceded. The numbers tell a story of a side in full flight: 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 10 matches, scoring 2.3 goals per game and conceding 1.3. Their away record over 20 games (7W 3D 10L, 1.2 goals scored per game) sits comfortably ahead of Team Altamura's home record (6W 5D 9L, 0.9 goals scored per game), and the two sides' conceded-per-game figures are identical at 1.45.

Team Altamura, by contrast, have won just two of their last five matches and failed to score in three of them. Their 0–3 home defeat to Catania on 11 October and the 0–0 draw away at Audace Cerignola on 4 October underline a side that is struggling to find goals. Over their last 10 matches, they have scored only 8 (0.8 per game) and conceded 16 (1.6 per game), with 6 of those 10 games ending without them finding the net. Their most recent result, a 3–1 away win at Cosenza on 18 October, has given them a brief lift, but the overall form remains concerning.

The head-to-head is thin on recent evidence. The only meeting within the last 12 months was at Potenza's ground on 15 February 2026, which ended 3–0 to the hosts. The older meetings at Team Altamura's ground (two 2–2 draws from 2024 and 2025) are historical record and do not reflect current form. With no recent meeting at this venue, the fixture's history offers little guidance beyond that dominant 3–0.

The best counter-argument for Team Altamura is their home record over 20 games, which includes 6 wins and 5 draws, and the fact that the head-to-head at this ground has historically produced draws. However, those older 2–2 results date back to 2024 and 2025, and the difference in recent form between the two sides is stark. Altamura's home record does show they are capable of scoring (0.9 per game), but at 1.45 per game conceded, they are also leaking goals at a rate that makes it hard to see them holding out against a side averaging 3.4 goals per game in their last five.

Key Points:

• Potenza have won their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 7

• Team Altamura have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 and recorded only 2 wins in 10

• The only recent head-to-head meeting (15 February 2026) ended 3–0 to Potenza

• Matchup tables show Potenza's away record (7W 3D 10L) ahead of Altamura's home record (6W 5D 9L)

• Altamura's home record includes 5 draws, but the older H2H meetings at this ground are historical record

With the evidence pointing firmly in one direction, I'm backing the away win for Potenza at 1.88.