⚽️
Real Murcia II1-0Pamplona
Mon, 1 Dec 2025, 19:45
Serie A
Italy
Italy
Full Time
1:3
HT: 1 - 2

Match Timeline

25'
Giuseppe Pezzella🟨
Yellow Card
31'
M. Payero
Normal Goal → M. Bianchetti
35'
J. Vardy
Normal Goal → F. Bonazzoli
45'
R. Orsolini
Penalty
46'
N. Casale🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Heggem
46'
B. Dominguez🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Cambiaghi
50'
J. Vardy
Normal Goal → T. Barbieri
59'
Filippo Terracciano🟨
Yellow Card
66'
M. Payero🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Grassi
75'
J. Odgaard🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Dallinga
76'
W. Bondo🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Zerbin
76'
F. Bonazzoli🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Sanabria
79'
N. Zortea🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Holm
79'
R. Orsolini🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Bernardeschi
86'
G. Pezzella🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Folino

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal5
15Shots off Goal2
29Total Shots10
7Blocked Shots3
20Shots insidebox7
9Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls12
13Corner Kicks8
4Offsides3
65Ball Possession35
0Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves7
469Total passes249
386Passes accurate147
82Passes %59
2.77expected_goals2.25
1goals_prevented1

Starting Lineups

BolognaBologna1:1

Starting XI

13Federico RavagliaG
33Juan MirandaD
6Nikola MoroM
30Benjamín DomínguezM
9Santiago CastroF
26Jhon LucumíD
4Tommaso PobegaM
21Jens OdgaardM
16Nicolò CasaleD
7Riccardo OrsoliniM
20Nadir ZorteaD

CremoneseCremonese1:1

Starting XI

1Emil AuderoG
15Matteo BianchettiD
38Warren BondoM
3Giuseppe PezzellaM
10Jamie VardyF
6Federico BaschirottoD
27Jari VandeputteM
90Federico BonazzoliF
24Filippo TerraccianoD
32Martín PayeroM
4Tommaso BarbieriM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Bologna
Bologna
Form: W-W-W-D-W
Cremonese
Cremonese
Form: L-L-L-W-D
Record
7 W
3 D
0 L
2 W
4 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.2
Scored
vs
1.1
Scored
0.5
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:0.2
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1712
Good
1474
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1789
↑ Momentum (+77)
1495
↑ Momentum (+21)
Expected Outcome
61%
Home Win
23%
Draw
16%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1597
Attack
1459
1640
Defence
1509
Recent Form
1632
Attack
1482
1667
Defence
1522
Post-Match Changes
-20
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Bologna's Home Fortress vs Struggling Cremonese
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.48
Expected Value:+6.6%

This Serie A clash presents a classic tale of two teams heading in opposite directions. Bologna, sitting pretty in 5th place with 24 points, have been absolutely sensational recently with an unbeaten run of 10 games (7 wins, 3 draws). Their defensive record during this period is nothing short of remarkable - just 5 goals conceded and 6 clean sheets. The home form statistics are particularly damning for any visiting side. Bologna are conceding just 0.20 goals per home game while scoring 2.00, creating a fortress that's seen them take points from 60% of their home fixtures. Recent results showcase their quality: a dominant 4-1 Europa League victory over Salzburg, an impressive 3-0 win at Udinese, and a crucial 2-0 home victory against Napoli. Cremonese, by contrast, are finding life difficult in 11th place. Their recent form tells the story - just 2 wins from their last 10 games, with 4 defeats. Away from home, they're particularly vulnerable, managing only a 25% win rate while conceding 1.50 goals per game. Their recent struggles include a 1-3 home loss to AS Roma, a 0-1 defeat at Pisa, and a 1-2 loss against Juventus. The statistical disparity is stark. Bologna average 16.10 shots per game to Cremonese's 8.80, enjoy 56.8% possession compared to 46.5%, and most importantly, have a defensive record that's three times better than their opponents. While Cremonese have shown some resilience with draws against Atalanta and Udinese, their overall away form and current momentum suggest they'll struggle here. The head-to-head record is limited but favors Bologna, who won 5-1 in their last meeting. Given the current form, home advantage, and statistical superiority, this looks like a straightforward home victory. Key Points: - Bologna unbeaten in 10 games (7W-3D-0L) with 2.40 points per game - Exceptional home defense: only 0.20 goals conceded per home game - Cremonese struggling away: 25% win rate, 1.50 goals conceded per away game - Bologna averaging 2.20 goals scored vs Cremonese's 1.10 - Recent quality wins for Bologna include 4-1 vs Salzburg and 3-0 at Udinese - Cremonese's recent form: 2W-4D-4L in last 10 games Based on the comprehensive data analysis, Bologna's home form, defensive solidity, and superior recent performances make them clear favorites. The odds of 1.48 offer reasonable value for what appears to be a high-probability outcome.

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