⚽️
Kaspij Aktau 26-1Aktobe Jas
Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 11:30
Serie A
Italy
Italy
Full Time
1:0
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

3'
A. Fadera
Normal Goal
23'
M. Collocolo🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Zerbin
32'
Tommaso Barbieri🟨
Yellow Card
46'
T. Barbieri🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Johnsen
59'
A. Fadera🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Berardi
59'
L. Lipani🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Thorstvedt
64'
Armand Laurienté🟨
Yellow Card
67'
A. Grassi🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Floriani
71'
A. Lauriente🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Pierini
71'
L. Moro🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Pinamonti
74'
Giuseppe Pezzella🟨
Yellow Card
81'
M. Bianchetti🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Faye
81'
F. Terracciano🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Folino
83'
I. Kone🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Iannoni

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal2
13Total Shots10
1Blocked Shots4
7Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox6
13Fouls14
3Corner Kicks5
4Offsides3
45Ball Possession55
1Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
376Total passes443
309Passes accurate357
82Passes %81
1.1expected_goals0.59
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

SassuoloSassuolo1:1

Starting XI

49Arijanet MurićG
3Josh DoigD
90Ismael KonéM
45Armand LaurientéF
80Tarik MuharemovićD
18Nemanja MatićM
24Luca MoroF
21Jay IdzesD
35Luca LipaniM
20Alieu FaderaF
6Sebastian WalukiewiczD

CremoneseCremonese1:1

Starting XI

1Emil AuderoG
15Matteo BianchettiD
3Giuseppe PezzellaM
10Jamie VardyF
6Federico BaschirottoD
27Jari VandeputteM
90Federico BonazzoliF
24Filippo TerraccianoD
33Alberto GrassiM
18Michele CollocoloM
4Tommaso BarbieriM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Form: L-L-L-D-D
Cremonese
Cremonese
Form: D-L-D-L-L
Record
1 W
4 D
5 L
2 W
3 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
0.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1486
Average
1478
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1465
↓ Momentum (-21)
1505
↑ Momentum (+27)
Expected Outcome
33%
Home Win
35%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1482
Attack
1458
1496
Defence
1536
Recent Form
1470
Attack
1474
1520
Defence
1564
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Sassuolo vs Cremonese: A Mid-Table Clash Where Goals May Be Scarce
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+14.6%
Confidence:60

Two sides locked together on 23 points in the lower mid-table of Serie A meet on Sunday, with both Sassuolo and Cremonese desperate to halt concerning slides in form. The hosts sit 11th on goal difference, but their recent performances paint a bleak picture: just one win in their last ten outings, and alarmingly, no goals in their last three matches. Cremonese arrive with a marginally better points-per-game return (0.90 vs 0.70) from the same period, but their away form offers little comfort, averaging just 0.60 goals per game on the road. Diving into the recent results tells the story. Sassuolo's last three games ended in defeats to Napoli (1-0), AS Roma (2-0), and Juventus (0-3). While those are tough opponents, the failure to find the net is a major concern. Their only win in this ten-game stretch was a 3-1 victory over a struggling Fiorentina side. Defensively, they've kept zero clean sheets in this period, conceding an average of 1.60 goals per game. At home, they've been slightly more potent, scoring 1.20 per game, but recent home losses to Juventus (0-3) and Torino (0-1) suggest that advantage is fading. Cremonese's recent ledger is a mixed bag. They've secured credible draws against Lazio (0-0) and Verona (0-0), and a stunning 3-1 away win at Bologna stands out. However, heavy defeats to Juventus (5-0) and AS Roma (1-3) highlight their vulnerability against the elite. More relevant for this fixture is their anaemic away attack, netting only 0.60 times per game on average. They have shown some defensive resilience, keeping three clean sheets in their last ten, but conceding 1.50 goals per game overall. The head-to-head history offers a psychological edge to the visitors. Cremonese have won three of the last six meetings, drawing two and losing just once. The most recent encounter in August 2025 was a five-goal thriller, finishing 2-3 in Cremonese's favour. However, past fireworks may not be a reliable guide given both teams' current attacking struggles. Statistically, Sassuolo holds the edge in possession (45.6% vs 45.5%) and pass accuracy (82.6% vs 76.5%), and they generate more shots (11.30 vs 8.90 per game). Yet, their shot accuracy at home is a worrying 29.0%, which goes a long way to explaining their goal drought. Cremonese, meanwhile, are less prolific and less precise in front of goal, especially on their travels. **Key Points:** * **Form Alarm:** Sassuolo are winless in five (D2 L3) and have failed to score in their last three matches. * **Away Struggles:** Cremonese average only 0.60 goals per game away from home. * **Clean Sheet Drought:** Sassuolo have not kept a clean sheet in their last ten matches. * **Head-to-Head:** Cremonese have lost just once in the last six meetings (W3 D2). * **Market Insight:** The implied probability for Both Teams to Score 'No' (52.4%) appears lower than the data suggests. **Summary & Betting Verdict:** This has all the hallmarks of a tense, low-quality affair between two sides low on confidence and goals. Sassuolo's attack has completely stalled, while Cremonese's away output is persistently poor. While Sassuolo's leaky defence invites pressure, Cremonese lacks the consistent firepower to reliably exploit it. The value, therefore, lies in opposing both teams finding the net. The odds of 1.91 for 'Both Teams to Score - No' offer solid expected value against a probability we assess as closer to 60%, making it the standout betting angle in what could be a forgettable stalemate or a narrow, single-goal victory.

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