⚽️
Omiya Ardija1-0Ventforet Kofu
Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 20:00
Full Time
2:1
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

31'
B. White🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Lewis-Skelly
57'
E. Eze🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Odegaard
57'
G. Martinelli🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Trossard
58'
M. Zubimendi🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Merino
60'
Hee-Chan Hwang🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Matt Doherty🟨
Yellow Card
69'
J. S. Larsen🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Arokodare
69'
M. Doherty🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Tchatchoua
70'
S. Johnstone⚽
Own Goal
80'
Hwang Hee-Chan🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Arias
80'
L. Krejci🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Lopez
81'
V. Gyökeres🔄
Substitution 5 → Gabriel Jesus
86'
Toti🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Mane
90'
T. Arokodare⚽
Normal Goal → M. Mane
90'
Y. Mosquera⚽
Own Goal
90+6'
Yerson Mosquera🟨
Yellow Card
90+8'
Emmanuel Agbadou🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal0
16Total Shots3
3Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox3
4Shots outsidebox0
7Fouls15
8Corner Kicks0
1Offsides1
69Ball Possession31
0Yellow Cards4
1Goalkeeper Saves2
572Total passes261
500Passes accurate180
87Passes %69
1.13expected_goals0.38
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

ArsenalArsenal1:1

Starting XI

1David RayaG
5Piero HincapiéD
41Declan RiceM
11Gabriel MartinelliF
2William SalibaD
36Martín ZubimendiM
14Viktor GyökeresF
12Jurriën TimberD
10Eberechi EzeM
7Bukayo SakaF
4Ben WhiteD

WolvesWolves1:1

Starting XI

31Sam JohnstoneG
24Toti GomesD
6David Möller WolfeM
11Hee-Chan HwangF
12Emmanuel AgbadouD
37Ladislav KrejčíM
9Jørgen Strand LarsenF
15Yerson MosqueraD
7AndréM
8João GomesM
2Matt DohertyM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Arsenal
Arsenal
Form: W-L-W-D-W
Wolves
Wolves
Form: L-L-L-L-L
Record
7 W
2 D
1 L
•
0 W
1 D
9 L
Goals Per Game
2.3
Scored
vs
0.7
Scored
0.7
Conceded
vs
2.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:0.0
Conceded
Home:2.5
Away:2.3

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Arsenal versus Wolves: long term ELO, before the match
ArsenalHomeRatingWolvesAway
Strength
1,784.2Overall1,405.8
1,771.9Match venue1,448.4
1,771.9At home1,442.3
1,719.4Away1,448.4
Attack & defence
1,605.1Attack1,432.5
1,724Defence1,474.3
1,645.3Home attack1,467.8
1,572.2Away attack1,428.6
1,695.7Home defence1,485.2
1,690.8Away defence1,499.9
Match profile
2,223.3Goal environment1,596.7
1,958.3Home goals1,565
1,765Away goals1,531.7
1,523.6Possession1,490.4
Specialist ratings
1,540.9Set-piece attack1,442.1
1,539.8Set-piece defence1,444.2
1,652.3Close games1,451.5
1,825.6Winning margin1,392.2

Match venue compares Arsenal at home with Wolves away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Premier League Summit Meets Basement: Arsenal's Fortress Awaits Winless Wolves
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.40
Expected Value:+19.0%
Confidence:85

The Premier League table tells its own story ahead of Saturday's clash at the Emirates. Arsenal sit proudly at the summit with 33 points from 15 games, boasting a formidable +19 goal difference. Wolves, in stark contrast, are rock bottom with a meagre 2 points and a -25 goal difference. This isn't just a top vs bottom fixture; it's a meeting of the league's most consistent force and its most desperate struggler. Arsenal's form is the stuff of title contenders. They've taken 23 points from their last 10 games (7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), scoring 23 goals and conceding just 7. Their home form is particularly imperious, with a 100% win rate from their last four matches at the Emirates, netting 2.75 goals per game on average. Recent results like the 3-0 away win at Club Brugge, the 3-1 dismantling of Bayern München, and the 4-1 North London derby thrashing of Tottenham showcase their quality across competitions. Their only recent blemish was a 2-1 defeat away to high-flying Aston Villa, which is hardly a disgrace. Wolves' season is a tale of unrelenting misery. They are yet to register a single victory in 15 Premier League outings. Their last 10 games read: 0 wins, 1 draw, 9 losses. They've scored just 7 goals in that period while conceding 24. Their away form is catastrophic, failing to score a single goal in their last four road trips while shipping 2.25 per game. Defeats like 1-4 to Manchester United, 0-1 to Nottingham Forest, and 0-2 to Crystal Palace highlight their struggles against teams of varying quality. The data is brutal: 0.70 goals scored per game, 2.40 conceded, and a 0% clean sheet rate over the last 10 matches. The head-to-head history offers Wolves no solace. Arsenal have won 8 of the last 9 meetings, including all 4 at home. The Gunners average 2.00 goals per game in these fixtures while conceding only 0.44. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in Arsenal's favour. From a betting perspective, the 1.12 odds on a home win reflect the overwhelming likelihood of an Arsenal victory. However, for value hunters, that price is simply too short to get excited about. The more intriguing markets lie elsewhere. Arsenal's defensive solidity (5 clean sheets in last 10, 50% rate) combined with Wolves' impotent attack (failed to score in 6 of last 10) makes 'Both Teams to Score - No' a compelling proposition at 1.40. The goal expectancy model suggests 2.50 for Arsenal and just 0.60 for Wolves, further supporting a potential shutout. **Key Points:** * **Form Chasm:** Arsenal (7W, 2D, 1L last 10) vs Wolves (0W, 1D, 9L last 10). * **Home Fortress:** Arsenal have a 100% win rate at home in their last 4 games, scoring 2.75 goals per game. * **Away Drought:** Wolves have failed to score in their last 4 away matches. * **Historical Dominance:** Arsenal have won 8 of the last 9 H2H meetings, including all 4 at home. * **Defensive vs Offensive Mismatch:** Arsenal keep clean sheets in 50% of games; Wolves fail to score in 60% of games. * **Statistical Supremacy:** Arsenal average 14.7 shots (7.5 on target) per game; Wolves manage just 9.0 shots (2.7 on target). **Summary & Betting Verdict:** All logic points towards a comprehensive Arsenal victory. While the 1.12 for the home win is almost a certainty, it offers negligible value. The smarter play, aligning with the statistical mismatch in defence and attack, is backing at least one team not to score. Given Wolves' travel sickness in front of goal and Arsenal's capacity for clean sheets, **Both Teams To Score - No** at 1.40 represents the standout value bet for this fixture.

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