🟨
Alta1-0Spokane Velocity
Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 17:30
Full Time
2:3
HT: 1 - 2

Match Timeline

9'
E. Smith Rowe
Normal Goal → H. Wilson
21'
L. Ugochukwu
Normal Goal → J. Cullen
31'
C. Bassey
Normal Goal → H. Wilson
37'
Joachim Andersen🟨
Yellow Card
58'
H. Wilson
Normal Goal → S. Chukwueze
62'
Florentino🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Edwards
62'
L. Foster🔄
Substitution 2 → Z. Flemming
66'
Josh Cullen🟨
Yellow Card
77'
J. Bruun Larsen🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Anthony
77'
A. Tuanzebe🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Sonne
79'
A. Iwobi🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Lukic
79'
R. Jimenez🔄
Substitution 2 → J. King
82'
Kenny Tete🟨
Yellow Card
83'
L. Ugochukwu🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
86'
O. Sonne
Normal Goal
89'
H. Wilson🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Traore
89'
E. Smith Rowe🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Castagne

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal2
16Total Shots6
4Blocked Shots0
10Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox0
8Fouls8
10Corner Kicks4
1Offsides0
53Ball Possession47
1Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
523Total passes473
433Passes accurate389
83Passes %82
2.52expected_goals2.23
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

BurnleyBurnley1:1

Starting XI

1Martin DúbravkaG
3Quilindschy HartmanD
16Florentino LuísM
7Jacob Bruun LarsenF
5Maxime EstèveD
24Josh CullenM
27Armando BrojaF
18Hjalmar EkdalD
8Lesley UgochukwuM
9Lyle FosterF
6Axel TuanzebeD

FulhamFulham1:1

Starting XI

1Bernd LenoG
33Antonee RobinsonD
17Alex IwobiM
19Samuel ChukwuezeM
7Raúl JiménezF
3Calvin BasseyD
16Sander BergeM
32Emile Smith RoweM
5Joachim AndersenD
8Harry WilsonM
2Kenny TeteD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Burnley
Burnley
Form: L-L-L-L-L
Fulham
Fulham
Form: L-L-W-W-L
Record
2 W
0 D
8 L
3 W
1 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
2.2
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:2.8
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1411
Average
1538
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1406
↓ Momentum (-5)
1570
↑ Momentum (+33)
Expected Outcome
23%
Home Win
28%
Draw
49%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1388
Attack
1542
1466
Defence
1546
Recent Form
1379
Attack
1599
1458
Defence
1536
Post-Match Changes
-9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Goals Expected at Turf Moor: Why Both Teams Should Score
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+24.1%
Confidence:70

The Premier League's relegation battle heats up as 19th-placed Burnley host 15th-placed Fulham at Turf Moor. On paper, this looks like a classic six-pointer, but the data tells a story of two vulnerable defenses and a high probability of goals at both ends. Burnley's form is nothing short of disastrous. They've lost six consecutive matches, managing just four goals in that miserable run. Their recent 2-1 defeat at Newcastle, 0-1 home loss to Crystal Palace, and 3-1 thrashing at Brentford highlight a team struggling at both ends of the pitch. While they managed a 2-0 home win against Leeds in October, that remains their only victory in their last ten outings. More concerning for Clarets fans is their toothless attack at home, averaging just 0.5 goals per game across their last four Turf Moor fixtures, including shutouts against Chelsea and Arsenal. Fulham arrive with their own inconsistencies but possess significantly more threat. Their recent 4-5 thriller against Manchester City and a 2-1 away victory at Tottenham show they can score against quality opposition. However, defensive frailties are evident, conceding two or more goals in four of their last ten matches. Their away form shows one win, one draw, and three losses from their last five, but they've found the net in seven of their last ten games overall. The historical head-to-head record heavily favors Burnley with six wins from nine meetings, but current form suggests this trend may not continue. The last encounter finished 2-2, and six of the nine historical clashes have seen over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in the same number. Statistically, this match sets up perfectly for goals. Burnley concedes 2.20 goals per game on average, while Fulham ships 1.70. Both teams have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent matches. Burnley's attack, while poor overall, has still managed to score in four of their last six defeats, suggesting they can find a way past Fulham's defense that allows 1.80 goals per game on the road. **Key Points:** * Burnley has lost six consecutive matches, scoring just four goals in that period. * Fulham has scored in seven of their last ten matches, including against top sides. * Both teams have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games. * Historical meetings average 2.22 goals with both teams scoring in 6 of 9 matches. * Burnley's defense concedes 2.20 goals per game; Fulham's away defense allows 1.80. **Summary:** While Fulham appears the more likely winner on current form, the value doesn't lie in the match outcome at the short 1.91 price. The clear betting angle emerges from the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. Burnley's desperate need for points should see them attack, while Fulham's superior attacking numbers suggest they'll breach a leaky Burnley defense. With both teams scoring in the majority of each side's recent games and the historical trend pointing the same way, **Both Teams to Score - Yes** at 1.91 offers significant value.

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