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Mon, 22 Dec 2025, 19:00
Eerste Divisie
Netherlands
Netherlands
Full Time
1:3
HT: 1 - 2

Match Timeline

20'
Lucas Beerten
Normal Goal → Joey Muller
29'
Jay Kruiver
Normal Goal → Iman Griffith
36'
Rafik El Arguioui
Normal Goal → Sil van der Wegen
46'
Markus Jensen🔄
Substitution 1 → Noa Dundas
53'
Michael Breij🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Daniel Lajud🔄
Substitution 1 → Cain Seedorf
57'
Bjorn Menzo🔄
Substitution 2 → Viggo Plantinga
65'
Cain Seedorf🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Jaygo van Ommeren🔄
Substitution 3 → Ivar Jenner
66'
Anthony van den Hurk🔄
Substitution 2 → Jack Cooper-Love
72'
Joshua Mukeh🔄
Substitution 4 → Neal Viereck
84'
Jay Kruiver🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Justin Treichel🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Neal Viereck🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
Michael Breij
Penalty

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots10
1Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls15
7Corner Kicks2
3Offsides2
60Ball Possession40
1Yellow Cards4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
533Total passes354
456Passes accurate274
86Passes %77

Starting Lineups

Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1:1

Starting XI

1Kevin GadellaaG
5Per KloosterboerD
8Oualid AgougilM
7Markus JensenF
14Joshua MukehD
6Jaygo van OmmerenM
9Jesse van de HaarF
3Wessel KooyD
10Rafik El ArguiouiM
11Bjorn MenzoF
2Sil van der WegenD

RodaRoda1:1

Starting XI

1Justin TreichelG
5Koen JansenD
4Joshua NisbetM
11Iman GriffithM
9Anthony van den HurkF
15Lucas BeertenD
8Joey MullerM
14Michael BreijM
3Marco TolD
17Daniel LajudM
22Jay KruiverD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Jong Utrecht
Jong Utrecht
Form: W-L-W-W-D
Roda
Roda
Form: D-W-L-D-L
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
2 W
5 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.0
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.7

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1380
Developing
1523
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1395
↑ Momentum (+14)
1463
↓ Momentum (-61)
Expected Outcome
22%
Home Win
27%
Draw
51%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1398
Attack
1481
1416
Defence
1494
Recent Form
1448
Attack
1465
1432
Defence
1479
Post-Match Changes
-9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Goals Galore Expected as In-Form Jong Utrecht Hosts Struggling Roda
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+17.0%
Confidence:78

The Eerste Divisie serves up a festive fixture as Jong Utrecht welcome Roda to their home ground. On paper, this looks like a classic mid-table clash with Roda sitting 4th and Jong Utrecht 11th, but the recent form guide tells a very different story. Jong Utrecht are riding a wave of confidence, while Roda are searching for consistency. Jong Utrecht's last ten games read like a team hitting their stride: five wins, three draws, and just two defeats. They've been scoring freely, netting 20 goals in that period at an average of 2.0 per game. Their 4-1 demolition of Jong AZ and a thrilling 3-2 victory over Den Bosch showcase their attacking threat. Even their losses were narrow affairs against strong opposition, like the 2-3 defeat to third-placed De Graafschap. At home, they've been solid if not spectacular, winning 40% of their last five, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 per game. In stark contrast, Roda's form has been patchy. With just two wins in their last ten outings, they've drawn five and lost three. Their campaign has been a rollercoaster, featuring a brilliant 3-2 away win at high-flying De Graafschap but also disappointing home losses to struggling sides like Jong AZ and Dordrecht. Defensively, they've been leaky, conceding 17 goals in those ten games. Their away form offers a slight glimmer, with a 33% win rate and a higher scoring average of 1.83 goals per game. The head-to-head history heavily favors Roda, who have won six of the nine previous meetings. However, the most recent encounter in November ended in a 1-1 draw, hinting that the tide may be turning. Jong Utrecht's sole victory in this fixture was a 1-0 home win back in 2023. Statistically, this match points towards goals. Both teams have seen both teams score in 80% of their last ten matches. Jong Utrecht's games have averaged 3.4 total goals, while Roda's have averaged 3.3. The underlying numbers support this: Jong Utrecht averages 6.2 shots on target per game with 43.6% accuracy, while Roda dominates possession (53.4%) but is less clinical, with just 34% shot accuracy. From a betting perspective, the value seems clear. While Roda's league position suggests they are the stronger side, their current trajectory is downward, while Jong Utrecht's is firmly upward. The visitors have had less rest (5 days vs 10) and have struggled for clean sheets, managing just one in their last ten. **Key Points:** * **Form Disparity:** Jong Utrecht are in far better recent form (5W, 3D, 2L) compared to Roda's struggles (2W, 5D, 3L). * **Goal-Fest Likely:** Both teams have a 80% Both Teams to Score rate over their last ten games. Their combined average goals per game is 3.35. * **Head-to-Head Caveat:** Roda dominate the historical record (6 wins in 9), but the last meeting was a 1-1 draw. * **Home Comforts:** Jong Utrecht score consistently at home (1.8 per game) and are facing a Roda side that concedes 1.7 on average. * **Roda's Away Resilience:** Despite poor form, Roda score more on the road (1.83 per game) and have shown they can trouble good teams, as seen in their win at De Graafschap. **Summary & Betting Verdict:** All signs point to an open, entertaining match with goals at both ends. Jong Utrecht's attacking form and Roda's defensive vulnerabilities, combined with Roda's own ability to score away from home, make 'Both Teams to Score - Yes' the standout betting proposition. The odds of 1.50 offer significant value against a probability we estimate to be considerably higher. While a home win at 2.60 is tempting given the form disparity, the historical dominance of Roda adds just enough doubt. For the clearest value play, back the nets to bulge at both ends.

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