🟨
Japan W0-1South Africa W
Wed, 11 Feb 2026, 19:45
League Two
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

54'
C. McJannet🟨
Yellow Card
58'
T. Sellars-Fleming⚽
Normal Goal → K. Green
63'
C. O'BrienšŸ”„
Substitution 2 → F. Sass
63'
A. HendersonšŸ”„
Substitution 1 → P. Madden
69'
T. Sellars-FlemingšŸ”„
Substitution 1 → C. Vernam
70'
J. WalkeršŸ”„
Substitution 2 → E. Khouri
76'
G. McEachranšŸ”„
Substitution 3 → C. Oduor
77'
J. WoodsšŸ”„
Substitution 3 → D. Abimbola
83'
A. CookšŸ”„
Substitution 4 → J. Kabia
84'
D. BurnsšŸ”„
Substitution 5 → J. Amaluzor
86'
D. Matthews🟄
Red Card
88'
C. GrantšŸ”„
Substitution 4 → C. Brown
90+2'
C. Brown🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
D. Love🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal4
14Shots off Goal1
27Total Shots9
6Blocked Shots4
22Shots insidebox3
5Shots outsidebox6
2Fouls13
8Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
50Ball Possession50
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves6
342Total passes353
225Passes accurate206
66Passes %58

Starting Lineups

GrimsbyGrimsby1:1

Starting XI

31Jackson SmithG
16Reece StauntonD
20George McEachranM
40Tyrell Sellars-FlemingM
39Andy CookF
17Cameron McJannettD
7Jamie WalkerM
2Maldini KacurriD
4Kieran GreenM
5Harvey RodgersD
18Darragh BurnsM

Accrington STAccrington ST1:1

Starting XI

13Oliver WrightG
17Devon MatthewsD
30Isaac HeathM
10Alex HendersonF
39Josh WoodsF
5Farrend RawsonD
24Luke ButterfieldM
7Shaun WhalleyF
2Donald LoveD
4Conor GrantM
38Connor O'BrienM

Head-to-Head

šŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Grimsby
Grimsby
Form: D-D-W-W-W
Accrington ST
Accrington ST
Form: W-W-W-D-L
Record
6 W
3 D
1 L
•
6 W
1 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
0.6
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
70%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
20%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:0.4
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:0.8

⚔ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1471
Average
1520
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1472
↑ Momentum (+1)
1549
↑ Momentum (+29)
Expected Outcome
29%
Home Win
32%
Draw
39%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1419
Attack
1451
1553
Defence
1562
Recent Form
1391
Attack
1442
1602
Defence
1597
Post-Match Changes
+12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

šŸ“ Match Preview

Defensive Fortress Grimsby to Silence Accrington
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.98
Expected Value:+38.6%
Confidence:75

Two in-form League Two sides clash at Blundell Park as Grimsby's remarkable defensive resilience meets an Accrington Stanley side riding a wave of confidence. With just two points separating them in the table, this promises to be a tactical battle where recent trends could prove decisive. Grimsby's current run is nothing short of spectacular. They're unbeaten in their last ten matches across all competitions, but the real story is their defensive solidity. In those ten games, they've conceded just four goals and kept eight clean sheets – an 80% shutout rate that's the foundation of their success. Their recent results tell the tale: a 1-0 win at Colchester, a 2-0 victory at Cheltenham, and a 1-0 triumph over Barnet. Even their draws – 0-0 against Salford City and 2-2 with promotion-chasing Milton Keynes Dons – demonstrate their ability to stifle opponents. At home, they've been particularly stubborn, conceding only 0.67 goals per game over their last six outings. Accrington Stanley arrive with impressive credentials of their own. They've won six of their last ten, including statement victories like a 1-0 away win at second-placed Notts County and a comprehensive 4-1 demolition of Newport County on the road. Their attack has been improving, averaging 1.20 goals per game recently, and they've shown they can score against quality opposition. However, their historical advantage over Grimsby – four wins in nine meetings compared to Grimsby's two – adds an intriguing psychological dimension to this fixture. The statistical matchup reveals a classic clash of styles. Grimsby dominates possession (56.2% average) and creates more corners (6.78 per game), while Accrington is more efficient in front of goal with better shot accuracy (36.5% vs 30.9%). Yet the most compelling data point is Grimsby's defensive record: they haven't conceded a single goal in their last four away games, and at home they're allowing less than a goal per game. When we examine the betting landscape, the market seems to be underestimating Grimsby's defensive capabilities. Both teams to score 'No' is available at 1.98, implying just a 50.5% chance that at least one side fails to score. Given Grimsby's 80% clean sheet rate over their last ten and Accrington's modest away scoring average of exactly one goal per game, this represents significant value. Key Points: • Grimsby are unbeaten in ten matches (6 wins, 4 draws) • They've kept eight clean sheets in those ten games (80% rate) • Have conceded just four goals in their last ten matches • Accrington have won six of their last ten but scored only one goal per game away • Historical head-to-head favors Accrington (4 wins vs Grimsby's 2) • Last meeting ended 1-1 in August 2025 • Grimsby's home defensive record: 0.67 goals conceded per game • Both teams scored in only 2 of Grimsby's last 10 matches This matchup pits Grimsby's defensive fortress against Accrington's improving attack. While Accrington has shown they can trouble good teams, Grimsby's defensive organization has been consistently exceptional. The value lies in backing the defensive trend to continue, making 'Both Teams to Score - No' the smart play at attractive odds.

Read Full Preview →