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Japan W0-1South Africa W
Tue, 25 Nov 2025, 19:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

10'
Ellis Simms
Normal Goal → Victor Torp
14'
Liam Kitching
Normal Goal → Matt Grimes
32'
Morgan Whittaker
Normal Goal → Alfie Jones
41'
Brandon Thomas-Asante🔄
Substitution 1 → Ephron Mason-Clark
46'
Aidan Morris🔄
Substitution 1 → Matt Targett
49'
Bobby Thomas
Own Goal
55'
Josh Eccles🔄
Substitution 2 → Kaine Kesler-Hayden
59'
Riley McGree🔄
Substitution 2 → Sontje Hansen
76'
Victor Torp🔄
Substitution 3 → Jamie Allen
76'
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto🔄
Substitution 4 → Jack Rudoni
81'
Tommy Conway🔄
Substitution 3 → Mamadou Kaly Sene
81'
Morgan Whittaker🔄
Substitution 4 → Delano Burgzorg
85'
Liam Kitching
Normal Goal
86'
Ellis Simms
Normal Goal → Jay Dasilva

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal6
11Total Shots20
4Blocked Shots6
5Shots insidebox16
6Shots outsidebox4
12Fouls16
8Corner Kicks3
6Offsides1
60Ball Possession40
4Goalkeeper Saves1
530Total passes367
473Passes accurate304
89Passes %83
1.05expected_goals1.4
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1:1

Starting XI

31Solomon BrynnG
5Alfie JonesD
22Samuel SilveraM
8Riley McGreeF
9Tommy ConwayF
12Luke AylingD
18Aidan MorrisM
11Morgan WhittakerF
16Alan BrowneD
7Hayden HackneyM
2Callum BrittainM

CoventryCoventry1:1

Starting XI

19Carl RushworthG
3Jay DasilvaD
6Matt GrimesM
23Brandon Thomas-AsanteM
9Ellis SimmsF
15Liam KitchingD
29Victor TorpM
28Josh EcclesM
4Bobby ThomasD
7Tatsuhiro SakamotoM
27Milan van EwijkD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Form: D-W-D-L-D
Coventry
Coventry
Form: W-W-W-L-W
Record
3 W
5 D
2 L
9 W
0 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
2.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1589
Average
1611
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1635
↑ Momentum (+46)
1673
↑ Momentum (+62)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
34%
Draw
35%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1478
Attack
1591
1569
Defence
1556
Recent Form
1477
Attack
1657
1575
Defence
1559
Post-Match Changes
-14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Coventry To Continue Dominance At Riverside
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.67
Expected Value:+65.5%

This Championship top-of-the-table clash sees league leaders Coventry travel to second-placed Middlesbrough in what could be a pivotal match in the promotion race. The form guide tells a compelling story - Coventry have been absolutely sensational with 9 wins from their last 10 games, averaging an incredible 2.8 goals per game while keeping 50% clean sheets. Their attacking firepower has been relentless, with recent results including a 5-0 thrashing of Sheffield Wednesday and a 4-0 victory over Millwall. Middlesbrough, while solid in second place, have been much more conservative in their approach. They've managed just 3 wins from their last 10 games, with 5 draws highlighting their tendency to play it safe. Their goal output is concerning at just 0.9 per game, and they've been held to 1-1 draws in three of their last five matches. The head-to-head record heavily favors Coventry, who have won 6 of the 9 meetings between these sides. Crucially, Middlesbrough have managed just one home win against Coventry in five attempts (20% success rate). The recent encounters have been particularly one-sided, with Coventry winning the last five meetings 2-0, 3-0, 3-1, 3-0, and 1-0 respectively. Statistically, Coventry dominate across the board. They're averaging 6.2 shots on target per game compared to Middlesbrough's 3.6, while their shot accuracy of 35.8% significantly outperforms Middlesbrough's 26.5%. Even away from home, Coventry maintain their high standards with 2.8 goals per game and an 80% win rate. The betting market appears to be underestimating Coventry's superiority here. At 2.67 for an away win, we're getting excellent value on a team that's dominating the league, has exceptional recent form, and owns the head-to-head record. Middlesbrough's conservative approach and low-scoring games suggest they'll struggle to contain Coventry's attacking juggernaut. Key Points: - Coventry have won 9 of their last 10 games, averaging 2.8 goals per game - Head-to-head record heavily favors Coventry (6W-2D-1L overall) - Middlesbrough have won just 20% of home games against Coventry - Coventry average 6.2 shots on target vs Middlesbrough's 3.6 - Coventry have 50% clean sheets compared to Middlesbrough's 20% - Recent H2H shows Coventry winning last five meetings convincingly The value lies firmly with the league leaders. Coventry's form, attacking prowess, and historical dominance over Middlesbrough make the away win at 2.67 an excellent betting opportunity.

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