⚽️
Chapulineros1-2Pioneros de Cancún
Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 12:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

26'
Matt Grimes🟨
Yellow Card
36'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis🟨
Yellow Card
44'
E. Mason-Clark⚽
Normal Goal → V. Torp
47'
Jay Dasilva🟥
Red Card
50'
J. Eccles🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Bidwell
56'
N. Wood⚽
Normal Goal → A. Armstrong
59'
E. Mason-Clark🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Brau
63'
Welington🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Fellows
76'
C. Jander🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Archer
81'
M. van Ewijk🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Kesler-Hayden
82'
V. Torp🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Allen
82'
H. Wright🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Simms

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal2
23Total Shots8
10Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox4
12Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls11
7Corner Kicks2
2Offsides3
60Ball Possession40
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves7
496Total passes333
419Passes accurate245
84Passes %74
1.31expected_goals0.48
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

SouthamptonSouthampton1:1

Starting XI

31Gavin BazunuG
17Joshua QuarshieD
3Ryan ManningM
13Leo ScienzaF
9Adam ArmstrongF
15Nathan WoodD
20Caspar JanderM
10Finn AzazF
6Taylor Harwood-BellisD
4Flynn DownesM
34WelingtonM

CoventryCoventry1:1

Starting XI

19Carl RushworthG
3Jay DasilvaD
6Matt GrimesM
10Ephron Mason-ClarkM
11Haji WrightF
22Joel LatibeaudiereD
29Victor TorpM
28Josh EcclesM
26Luke WoolfendenD
5Jack RudoniM
27Milan van EwijkD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Southampton
Southampton
Form: L-W-W-L-W
Coventry
Coventry
Form: W-D-L-W-W
Record
6 W
0 D
4 L
•
7 W
1 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
2.3
Scored
vs
2.1
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.8

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Southampton versus Coventry: long term ELO, before the match
SouthamptonHomeRatingCoventryAway
Strength
1,556.9Overall1,644.4
1,594Match venue1,539.7
1,594At home1,624.8
1,538.8Away1,539.7
Attack & defence
1,571.2Attack1,597.2
1,504Defence1,546.4
1,584.2Home attack1,593.7
1,530Away attack1,527.7
1,555Home defence1,577.2
1,490.8Away defence1,506.8
Match profile
1,646.7Goal environment1,560
1,590Home goals1,523.3
1,556.7Away goals1,536.7
1,521.9Possession1,520
Specialist ratings
1,514.1Set-piece attack1,523.9
1,514.2Set-piece defence1,523.3
1,525.5Close games1,568
1,572.9Winning margin1,661.8

Match venue compares Southampton at home with Coventry away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Goals Guaranteed: Why Both Teams Will Score at St Mary's
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+8.0%
Confidence:72

The Championship's top side Coventry travel to face a formidable Southampton at St Mary's in what promises to be an entertaining clash. On paper, this is a classic case of league position versus home fortress, but the underlying numbers tell a story that should have bettors licking their lips. Southampton sit 10th but have been a force at home, winning four of their last five on their own turf. Their recent 3-2 victory over West Brom and 3-1 win against Birmingham showcased their attacking threat, netting 23 goals in their last ten outings. However, their defensive record tells a different tale, with just one clean sheet in that period. Even in their impressive 3-0 win over Leicester, they've shown vulnerability, conceding in eight of their last ten matches. Their last result, a 2-1 defeat at struggling Norwich, perfectly illustrates this Jekyll and Hyde nature. Coventry arrive as league leaders for a reason. Their form of seven wins from ten is outstanding, highlighted by a stunning 4-2 away victory at second-placed Middlesbrough. Like their hosts, they are an attacking outfit, scoring 21 times in their last ten games. Their 3-1 win over Charlton and 3-2 victory against West Brom were typical of their approach. However, their defensive solidity on the road is questionable, conceding in four of their last five away trips, including a 3-0 defeat at Ipswich and a 3-2 loss at Wrexham. The head-to-head history adds another layer, with Southampton unbeaten in the last four meetings (two wins, two draws). The most recent encounter, a 2-1 win for Southampton, followed the pattern of both teams finding the net, which has happened in three of the last four clashes. Statistically, this points squarely towards goals. Southampton average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home game. Coventry average 1.60 scored but a concerning 1.80 conceded on their travels. Both teams have seen 'Both Teams to Score' land in the vast majority of their recent games—80% for Southampton and 70% for Coventry. With clean sheets a rarity for both (10% and 20% rates respectively), the evidence for goals at both ends is overwhelming. While Coventry's league leadership commands respect, their patchy away form against a strong home side makes the match outcome difficult to call with confidence. The value, therefore, lies not in picking a winner, but in backing the relentless attacking trends of both clubs to continue. **Key Points:** * Southampton have scored in 100% of their last 10 matches. * Coventry have scored in 90% of their last 10 matches. * Both Teams Have Scored in 8 of Southampton's last 10 games (80%). * Both Teams Have Scored in 7 of Coventry's last 10 games (70%). * Southampton have kept just one clean sheet in their last ten outings. * The last four head-to-head meetings have produced three games where both teams scored. **Summary:** This fixture pits the league's best attack against one of its most potent home attacks. With both sides consistently scoring and conceding, and with clean sheets at a premium, all signs point to both nets rippling. The market odds of 1.50 for 'Both Teams to Score - Yes' offer solid value against a probability we assess as significantly higher.

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