⚽️
Polessya1-0Shimizu S-pulse
Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 15:00
League One
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

20'
C. Watts🟨
Yellow Card
42'
C. Watts
Normal Goal → M. Ross
45'
M. Sorinola🟨
Yellow Card
46'
C. Watts🔄
Substitution 1 → X. Amaechi
49'
J. Edwards🟨
Yellow Card
60'
O. Bailey🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Diamond
60'
A. Sidibeh🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Mothersille
60'
B. Osborn🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Bate
62'
B. Galloway🔄
Substitution 2 → J. MacKenzie
69'
K. Wootton
Normal Goal → T. Edun
74'
B. Wiredu🟨
Yellow Card
77'
M. Sorinola🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Dale
85'
K. Wootton
Normal Goal → J. Diamond
88'
T. Olaofe🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Olowu

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
6Total Shots11
1Blocked Shots3
5Shots insidebox7
1Shots outsidebox4
8Fouls14
6Corner Kicks5
4Offsides0
69Ball Possession31
0Yellow Cards4
2Goalkeeper Saves0
484Total passes206
390Passes accurate119
81Passes %58

Starting Lineups

Stockport CountyStockport County1:1

Starting XI

1Ben HinchliffeG
15Ethan PyeD
14Adetayo EdunM
9Isaac OlaofeF
19Kyle WoottonF
33Brad HillsD
27Odin BaileyM
23Ben OsbornF
2Josh Dacres-CogleyD
26Oliver NorwoodM
29Adama SidibehM

PlymouthPlymouth1:1

Starting XI

21Luca Ashby-HammondG
22Brendan GallowayD
29Matthew SorinolaM
27Aribim PeppleF
15Alex MitchellD
4Brendan Sarpong-WireduM
17Caleb WattsF
2Mathias RossD
19Malachi BoatengM
8Joe EdwardsD
28Ronan CurtisM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Stockport County
Stockport County
Form: W-D-W-W-W
Plymouth
Plymouth
Form: D-W-W-W-W
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
6 W
3 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1596
Average
1589
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1602
↑ Momentum (+6)
1542
↓ Momentum (-48)
Expected Outcome
33%
Home Win
35%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1528
Attack
1483
1568
Defence
1568
Recent Form
1528
Attack
1446
1548
Defence
1582
Post-Match Changes
+11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Goals Galore Expected as Stockport Host In-Form Plymouth
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.92
Expected Value:+24.8%
Confidence:65

Two of League One's form sides clash at Edgeley Park in what promises to be an entertaining affair. Stockport County sit comfortably in the playoff places, but they face a Plymouth side whose recent results belie their mid-table position. The data suggests we're in for a high-scoring encounter, and as a value-seeking bettor, the numbers point strongly in one direction. Stockport's home form is formidable, boasting an 80% win rate from their last five games at Edgeley Park. They've been scoring freely, averaging 2.20 goals per game on their own patch, with recent victories including a 3-2 win over Rotherham and a 4-2 thrashing of Doncaster. However, their defence has been less secure, conceding 1.40 goals per game at home. This vulnerability was evident in their last outing, a 2-1 win over Blackpool, and could be exploited. Plymouth arrive as the league's form team on the road. Their last four away games have yielded three wins and a draw, with a stunning average of 2.75 goals scored per game. Their 5-1 demolition of Doncaster and a hard-fought 1-0 win at Peterborough showcase their threat. Despite sitting 14th, their last ten games show only one defeat, collecting 2.10 points per game—a rate better than their hosts. The head-to-head record, though limited, also favours the visitors, who won a six-goal thriller 4-2 when these sides met earlier in the season. The underlying statistics reinforce the attacking narrative. Plymouth average more shots per game (14.30 to 12.70) and more shots on target (4.60 to 4.30) than Stockport, despite enjoying less possession. Stockport, meanwhile, dominate the ball with 57.4% average possession and a high pass accuracy of 76.5%, which they use to create chances. Both teams have seen 'Both Teams to Score' land in the majority of their recent matches—70% for Stockport and 60% for Plymouth. With the goal expectancy model suggesting over 3.8 total goals, the market price of 1.92 for Over 2.5 Goals represents significant value. Stockport's potent home attack meets Plymouth's prolific away offence, and both defences have shown they can be breached. **Key Points:** * Stockport County average 2.20 goals per game at home. * Plymouth average a remarkable 2.75 goals per game in their recent away matches. * The previous meeting this season finished 4-2 to Plymouth. * Both Teams have Scored in 70% of Stockport's and 60% of Plymouth's last 10 games. * The goal expectancy model points to a high-scoring game. **Summary:** While Stockport are rightfully favourites at home, Plymouth's incredible away form and goal threat make this far from a foregone conclusion. The clearest trend from all the data is goals. Both teams score, both teams concede, and their recent histories are filled with high-scoring affairs. At odds of 1.92, the bet on Over 2.5 Goals offers the perfect blend of a high probability outcome and excellent betting value.

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