Stockport County vs Plymouth Prediction - 31st January 2026

Two of League One's form sides clash at Edgeley Park in what promises to be an entertaining affair. Stockport County sit comfortably in the playoff places, but they face a Plymouth side whose recent results belie their mid-table position. The data suggests we're in for a high-scoring encounter, and as a value-seeking bettor, the numbers point strongly in one direction. Stockport's home form is formidable, boasting an 80% win rate from their last five games at Edgeley Park. They've been scoring freely, averaging 2.20 goals per game on their own patch, with recent victories including a 3-2 win over Rotherham and a 4-2 thrashing of Doncaster. However, their defence has been less secure, conceding 1.40 goals per game at home. This vulnerability was evident in their last outing, a 2-1 win over Blackpool, and could be exploited. Plymouth arrive as the league's form team on the road. Their last four away games have yielded three wins and a draw, with a stunning average of 2.75 goals scored per game. Their 5-1 demolition of Doncaster and a hard-fought 1-0 win at Peterborough showcase their threat. Despite sitting 14th, their last ten games show only one defeat, collecting 2.10 points per game—a rate better than their hosts. The head-to-head record, though limited, also favours the visitors, who won a six-goal thriller 4-2 when these sides met earlier in the season. The underlying statistics reinforce the attacking narrative. Plymouth average more shots per game (14.30 to 12.70) and more shots on target (4.60 to 4.30) than Stockport, despite enjoying less possession. Stockport, meanwhile, dominate the ball with 57.4% average possession and a high pass accuracy of 76.5%, which they use to create chances. Both teams have seen 'Both Teams to Score' land in the majority of their recent matches—70% for Stockport and 60% for Plymouth. With the goal expectancy model suggesting over 3.8 total goals, the market price of 1.92 for Over 2.5 Goals represents significant value. Stockport's potent home attack meets Plymouth's prolific away offence, and both defences have shown they can be breached. **Key Points:** * Stockport County average 2.20 goals per game at home. * Plymouth average a remarkable 2.75 goals per game in their recent away matches. * The previous meeting this season finished 4-2 to Plymouth. * Both Teams have Scored in 70% of Stockport's and 60% of Plymouth's last 10 games. * The goal expectancy model points to a high-scoring game. **Summary:** While Stockport are rightfully favourites at home, Plymouth's incredible away form and goal threat make this far from a foregone conclusion. The clearest trend from all the data is goals. Both teams score, both teams concede, and their recent histories are filled with high-scoring affairs. At odds of 1.92, the bet on Over 2.5 Goals offers the perfect blend of a high probability outcome and excellent betting value.