🟨
Colombia1-0Congo DR
Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 18:45
League One
England
England
Full Time
0:2
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

16'
Robbie Gotts🟨
Yellow Card
33'
Jack Senior🟨
Yellow Card
43'
B. House
Normal Goal → J. Moylan
46'
R. Gotts🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Broadbent
63'
R. One🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Hackett-Fairchild
64'
J. Sterry🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Nixon
65'
H. Clifton🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Gibson
72'
B. House
Normal Goal → R. Street
74'
Sean Grehan🟨
Yellow Card
77'
H. Adelakun🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Middleton
77'
E. Lee🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Robinson
78'
T. Hamer🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Elerewe
79'
J. Moylan🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Bayliss
84'
B. House🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Jefferies
84'
R. Street🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Lloyd

Match Statistics

0Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal8
3Total Shots21
1Blocked Shots8
2Shots insidebox18
1Shots outsidebox3
16Fouls14
1Corner Kicks8
0Offsides5
56Ball Possession44
3Yellow Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
350Total passes269
263Passes accurate176
75Passes %65

Starting Lineups

DoncasterDoncaster1:1

Starting XI

29Thimothee Lo-TutalaG
23Jack SeniorD
15Harry CliftonM
47Hakeeb AdelakunF
5Matty PearsonD
22Robbie GottsM
18Elliott LeeF
27Sean GrehanD
4Owen BaileyM
9Brandon HanlanF
2Jamie SterryD

LincolnLincoln1:1

Starting XI

1George WickensG
6Ryley TowlerD
14Conor McGrandlesM
18Ben HouseM
20Ryan OneF
15Sonny BradleyD
24Ivan VarfolomeevM
10Jack MoylanM
22Thomas HamerD
17Robert StreetM
2Tendayi DarikwaD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Doncaster
Doncaster
Form: W-W-L-L-W
Lincoln
Lincoln
Form: D-W-W-W-W
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
8 W
2 D
0 L
Goals Per Game
1.0
Scored
vs
2.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1485
Average
1652
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1490
↑ Momentum (+5)
1738
↑ Momentum (+86)
Expected Outcome
20%
Home Win
26%
Draw
54%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1432
Attack
1580
1514
Defence
1619
Recent Form
1412
Attack
1636
1521
Defence
1626
Post-Match Changes
-9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Doncaster vs Lincoln Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.12
Expected Value:+27.2%
Confidence:7

The League One clash between Doncaster and Lincoln presents a stark contrast in current form and league standing. Lincoln arrives as the dominant force, sitting comfortably at the top of the table with 94 points from 43 games. Their recent form is exceptional, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 matches with 8 wins and 2 draws. In contrast, Doncaster occupies 13th place with 56 points, showing inconsistent results with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 fixtures. Lincoln's attacking output has been formidable, averaging 2.2 goals per game over the last 10 matches, while keeping a clean sheet in 50% of those games. Their away performance is particularly robust, scoring 1.8 goals per game on the road. Doncaster, meanwhile, averages just 1.0 goal per game at home and has conceded 1.0 goal per game in their last 10 matches. While Doncaster holds a strong historical head-to-head record with 6 wins in 9 meetings, the most recent encounter in November 2025 ended in a 2-1 victory for Lincoln, signaling a potential shift in the rivalry. The betting markets reflect the historical bias, pricing the Away Win at 2.12. However, given Lincoln's current dominance and unbeaten run, the implied probability of 47% appears undervalued compared to their actual performance metrics. Lincoln's 60% away win rate in their last 5 away games further supports the likelihood of an away victory. Doncaster's home win rate is also 60%, but their overall points per game (1.70) lags significantly behind Lincoln's 2.60 points per game. Considering the significant gap in league position and the quality of recent form, the value lies with the visitors. The odds suggest a lower probability than the data supports, offering a positive expected value opportunity. Based on the statistical edge and form analysis, the recommended selection is an Away Win for Lincoln.

Read Full Preview →