Stevenage host Blackpool in League One on 6 April 2026. The hosts sit 7th in the table with 61 points, while Blackpool are struggling in 18th place with 48 points. This gap in the standings highlights the disparity in current form. Stevenage have been formidable at home, winning 83.33% of their last six home games. They average 1.33 goals scored per home game and concede only 0.67. Conversely, Blackpool have failed to win any of their last five away matches, winning 0.00% of those fixtures. Their away defensive record is concerning, conceding 2.40 goals per game on the road. Head-to-head history favors Blackpool overall with four wins to Stevenage's two, but the most recent meeting ended 3-2 in favor of Stevenage. In terms of shot statistics, Stevenage average 10.70 shots per game with 4.20 on target, while Blackpool average 9.60 shots with 2.50 on target. Stevenage also boast a 41.7% shot accuracy compared to Blackpool's 26.5%. The goal expectancy model predicts 1.87 goals for Stevenage and 0.73 for Blackpool. The betting market prices a Stevenage win at 1.88. Given the stark contrast in home and away performance splits, the implied probability of 53.2% appears undervalued compared to the observed win rates. With multiple confirmatory signals including standings, venue performance, and goal expectancy, the value lies with the home side. **Key Points:** * Stevenage: 7th place, 83.33% home win rate. * Blackpool: 18th place, 0.00% away win rate. * H2H: Stevenage won last meeting 3-2. * Goal Expectancy: Home 1.87, Away 0.73. * Recommendation: Home Win.