Rodez hosts Amiens in a crucial Ligue 2 fixture on 2026-04-17. Rodez enters this match on a strong unbeaten run, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 games with 6 wins and 4 draws. Their home performance has been solid, averaging 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per game. However, the head-to-head record presents a significant conflict. In the last four meetings at Rodez's home ground, Rodez has failed to win, recording 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses against Amiens. Amiens, sitting 17th in the table with just 24 points, struggles significantly on the road. Their away win rate is 0% in the last 5 away games, with an average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per game. Despite Rodez's current form, the historical dominance of Amiens at this venue suggests a tight contest. The goal expectancy data indicates a total of 1.90 expected goals (Home 1.30, Away 0.60). This statistical projection strongly favors a lower-scoring match. The market odds for Under 2.5 Goals stand at 2.25, implying a 44.4% probability. Given the expectancy of 1.90, the true probability of Under 2.5 is estimated around 55%, offering a clear value edge. Key Points: - Rodez unbeaten in last 10 games (6 wins, 4 draws). - Amiens has 0% win rate in last 5 away games. - Head-to-Head: Rodez has 0 wins at home vs Amiens in last 4 meetings. - Goal Expectancy: 1.90 total goals. - Under 2.5 Goals odds at 2.25 provide value based on expectancy. In summary, while Rodez's current form is impressive, the historical head-to-head record and the low goal expectancy of 1.90 suggest a defensive battle. The recommended bet is Under 2.5 Goals.