🟨
Jiangxi Liansheng0-1Shangyu Pterosaur
Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

45'
J. J. Harris
Normal Goal
46'
D. Johnson-Fisher🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Jephcott
51'
K. Jennings
Normal Goal → H. Muller
61'
O. Foyo🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Njoku
63'
L. Hasani
Normal Goal → C. Riley-Lowe
73'
C. Deeming🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. En-Neyah
79'
C. Oxlade-Chamberlain🟨
Yellow Card
80'
T. Harvey🟨
Yellow Card
81'
L. Hasani
Normal Goal → C. Riley-Lowe
83'
K. Jennings
Normal Goal → L. Simper
86'
H. Muller🔄
Substitution 2 → W. Tizzard
90'
D. Rooney🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Janneh

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Truro City
Truro City
Form: L-L-L-D-W
Sutton Utd
Sutton Utd
Form: W-D-W-W-L
Record
2 W
4 D
4 L
3 W
5 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
2.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
vs
2.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:2.1
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:1.7
Away:3.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1479
Average
1505
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1463
↓ Momentum (-16)
1473
↓ Momentum (-32)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
33%
Draw
36%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1477
Attack
1512
1459
Defence
1466
Recent Form
1455
Attack
1529
1421
Defence
1428
Post-Match Changes
-12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Bottom-of-the-table Battle: Goals Expected at Truro
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+3.5%

This National League basement clash between Truro City and Sutton Utd has all the ingredients for an entertaining, goal-filled encounter. Both sides find themselves in the relegation zone, with Truro propping up the entire table on just 12 points and Sutton not far above them in 20th place. The recent form tells an interesting story. Sutton Utd have shown signs of life with three wins and five draws in their last ten matches, averaging a respectable 1.40 points per game. More importantly for our analysis, they've been finding the net regularly, scoring 22 goals in that period (2.20 per game). Their recent results include a 2-0 win over FC Halifax Town, a 2-2 draw at Morecambe, and a 2-1 victory against Eastleigh. However, they've also been involved in some thrillers - three 3-3 draws in their last ten matches show they're certainly not keeping things tight at the back. Truro City, meanwhile, are struggling badly. They've managed just two wins in their last ten games, though they have been somewhat difficult to beat at times with four draws. The issue is clear at both ends - they're only scoring 1.10 goals per game while conceding 1.60. Recent results show their inconsistency: a 2-1 home win against FC Halifax Town was followed by a 0-4 hammering at Solihull Moors and a 0-2 defeat at Braintree. The key statistical trend that jumps out is Sutton's Both Teams To Score rate - a remarkable 90% in their last ten matches. This isn't surprising given they score plenty but also concede at an alarming rate (2.10 per game). Truro, while less prolific, have seen BTTS in 50% of their recent matches and have managed just one clean sheet in ten games. Both teams have identical clean sheet percentages of 10%, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Sutton's away form shows they're not winning on the road (0% in last three away games) but they are scoring, averaging 2.33 goals per game away from home. With both sides desperate for points in a relegation battle, we can expect an open game where attack will be prioritized over defense. Sutton's attacking form combined with both teams' defensive struggles makes goals from both sides extremely likely.

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