⚽️
Tishreen1-0Horriya
National League

Truro City vs Sutton Utd Prediction - 22nd November 2025

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 15:00
Prediction
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.67
Implied Probability
59.9%
Expected Value
+4%

Bottom-of-the-table Battle: Goals Expected at Truro

Analysis

This National League basement clash between Truro City and Sutton Utd has all the ingredients for an entertaining, goal-filled encounter. Both sides find themselves in the relegation zone, with Truro propping up the entire table on just 12 points and Sutton not far above them in 20th place. The recent form tells an interesting story. Sutton Utd have shown signs of life with three wins and five draws in their last ten matches, averaging a respectable 1.40 points per game. More importantly for our analysis, they've been finding the net regularly, scoring 22 goals in that period (2.20 per game). Their recent results include a 2-0 win over FC Halifax Town, a 2-2 draw at Morecambe, and a 2-1 victory against Eastleigh. However, they've also been involved in some thrillers - three 3-3 draws in their last ten matches show they're certainly not keeping things tight at the back. Truro City, meanwhile, are struggling badly. They've managed just two wins in their last ten games, though they have been somewhat difficult to beat at times with four draws. The issue is clear at both ends - they're only scoring 1.10 goals per game while conceding 1.60. Recent results show their inconsistency: a 2-1 home win against FC Halifax Town was followed by a 0-4 hammering at Solihull Moors and a 0-2 defeat at Braintree. The key statistical trend that jumps out is Sutton's Both Teams To Score rate - a remarkable 90% in their last ten matches. This isn't surprising given they score plenty but also concede at an alarming rate (2.10 per game). Truro, while less prolific, have seen BTTS in 50% of their recent matches and have managed just one clean sheet in ten games. Both teams have identical clean sheet percentages of 10%, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Sutton's away form shows they're not winning on the road (0% in last three away games) but they are scoring, averaging 2.33 goals per game away from home. With both sides desperate for points in a relegation battle, we can expect an open game where attack will be prioritized over defense. Sutton's attacking form combined with both teams' defensive struggles makes goals from both sides extremely likely.